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PUBMPubMatic, Inc.Sell5.1·$13.55-2.02%
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PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

PubMatic, Inc., a technology company, engages in the provision of a cloud infrastructure platform that enables real time programmatic advertising transactions for digital content creators, advertisers, agencies, agency trading desks, and demand side platforms worldwide. Its... Read more

$13.55+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#112 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield8.42%
Stop $12.60Target $13.71(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$12.89-4.9%9 analysts
$13.71our TP
$13.55price
$12.89mean
$8
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-17.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-72.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -1473.2%), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)27.7
Mkt Cap$629M
EV/EBITDA-364.5
Profit Mgn-6.2%
ROE-6.6%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta1.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
7.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
5.1
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
7.8
Gross Margin
8.6
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 19%, FCF yield 8.4%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
9.4
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.48%=HEAVYMomentum 7.3>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.73Resistance $13.99

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-72.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -1473.2%), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PUBM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.60. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PUBM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.71 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.60. Stop-loss: $12.60.

What are the risks of investing in PUBM?

Target reached (-17.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-72.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -1473.2%), High leverage (D/E 1.6).

Is PUBM overvalued or undervalued?

PubMatic, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 27.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PUBM?

19 analysts cover PUBM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does PubMatic, Inc. do?PubMatic, Inc., a technology company, engages in the provision of a cloud infrastructure platform that enables real...

PubMatic, Inc., a technology company, engages in the provision of a cloud infrastructure platform that enables real time programmatic advertising transactions for digital content creators, advertisers, agencies, agency trading desks, and demand side platforms worldwide. Its PubMatic SSP, a sell side platform for the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers and buyers. The company also provides OpenWrap, a header bidding solution; Connect, a solution that provides additional data and insights to publishers and buyers; Activate, which allows buyers to execute direct deals on its platform across publisher inventory; Convert, a commerce media solution; and Identity Hub, an ID management tool for publishers that leverages specialized technology infrastructure to simplify alternative identifier marketplace. Its platform supports an array of ad formats and digital device types, including mobile app, mobile web, desktop, display, video, over the top video, connected television, and media. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Redwood City, California.

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