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PNRPentair plc.Sell4.9·$59.41-1.02%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pentair is a high-quality water treatment and flow control industrial with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a forward P/E of 12.8x, and best-in-class margins at 16%, offering 22.7% analyst upside — though it remains in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining 4.4% per month.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Perfect Earnings ConsistencyImproving
  • Attractive Valuation UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves... Read more

$59.41+12.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#51 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.83%
IncomeYield1.77%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout26.80%sustainable
Stop $57.38Target $66.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$76.31+28.4%13 analysts
$66.39our TP
$59.41price
$76.31mean
$94

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-17.0%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.77%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.15bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales to our largest customer represented approximately 18% of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti, EVP and CEO, Pool, elected to resign effective July 1, 2026; the CEO, Pool role was eliminated. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -17.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -17%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.15Resistance $68.50

Price Targets

$57
$66
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $57.38. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.39 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $57.38. Stop-loss: $57.38.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNR?

22 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments —...

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers and employs approximately 9,000 people worldwide.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)
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