Skip to main content
PNRPentair plc.Sell5.1·$66.16-1.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pentair is a high-quality water treatment and flow control industrial with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a forward P/E of 12.8x, and best-in-class margins at 16%, offering 22.7% analyst upside — though it remains in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining 4.4% per month.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Perfect Earnings ConsistencyStable
  • Attractive Valuation UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves... Read more

$66.16+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#46 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.22%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout26.80%sustainable
Stop $62.06Target $66.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$76.64+15.8%14 analysts
$66.68our TP
$66.16price
$76.64mean
$60
$94

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-17.0%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales to our largest customer represented approximately 18% of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti, EVP and CEO, Pool, elected to resign effective July 1, 2026; the CEO, Pool role was eliminated. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -17.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -17%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.8
Support Resistance
4.5
Bollinger
4.6
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $60.36Resistance $70.97

Price Targets

$62
$67
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.16 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $62.06. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.68 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $62.06. Stop-loss: $62.06.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNR?

23 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments —...

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers and employs approximately 9,000 people worldwide.

Related stocks: XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MFP (Midera Food Processing, Inc.) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.)
Home Stocks PNR

Latest news

Latest News

GlobeNewswire17d agoLegal
GuruFocus18d ago
TradingView31d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus31d ago
Marketscreener.com31d agoRestructuring
MarketWatch38d ago
Ad-hoc-news.de38d ago
Seeking Alpha18d agoEarnings
Benzinga18d ago
Yahoo Finance18d agoEarnings
GuruFocus18d ago
Yahoo Finance18d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha18d agoMerger Acquisition
Yahoo Finance18d ago
PR Newswire18d agoLegal
GlobeNewswire25d agoLegal
PR Newswire25d agoLegal
Yahoo Finance116d agoEarnings
MarketBeat116d ago
MarketBeat116d agoEarnings
Loading more...