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PNRPentair plc.Sell5.3·$52.11
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pentair is a high-quality water treatment and flow control industrial with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a forward P/E of 12.8x, and best-in-class margins at 16%, offering 22.7% analyst upside — though it remains in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining 4.4% per month.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Consistency↑Improving
  • Attractive Valuation Upside→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 6 days (2026-10-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves... Read more

$52.11+28.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#41 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.52%
IncomeYield2.04%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout26.80%sustainable
Stop $49.77Target $66.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.7:1
Analyst target$74.27+42.5%15 analysts
$66.84our TP
$52.11price
$74.27mean
$94

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-17.0%
Beta1.03
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$43-18.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales to our largest customer represented approximately 18% of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti, EVP and CEO, Pool, elected to resign effective July 1, 2026; the CEO, Pool role was eliminated. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -17.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -17%
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.13Resistance $57.46

Price Targets

$50
$67
A.Upside+28.3%
A.R:R5.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $52.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $49.77. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.84 (+28.3% upside). Prior stop was $49.77. Stop-loss: $49.77.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNR?

22 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments —...

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers and employs approximately 9,000 people worldwide.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)
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