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Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Pentair is an Irish-incorporated water solutions company with three segments: Flow (pumps, valves, filtration), Water Solutions (commercial and residential water treatment), and Pool (pool equipment and accessories). Generated $4.2 billion in net sales in 2025 from approximately... Read more

$73.41+25.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.84%
IncomeYield1.44%(5y avg 1.24%)Payout25.63%sustainable
Stop $70.04Target $92.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$102.32+39.4%19 analysts
$92.08our TP
$73.41price
$102.32mean
$125

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Pentair plc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 28, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Jerome O. Pedretti (EVP & CEO Pool) resigned effective July 1, 2026. Company eliminating CEO Pool role. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.10
Dividend1.44%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$65-11.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerone customer in the Pool business18%
    10-K Item 1: 'One customer in the Pool business represented approximately 18% and 15% of our consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti (EVP & CEO Pool) resigned effective July 1, 2026. Company eliminating CEO Pool role. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Amendment providing compensation details for Nicholas J. Brazis as EVP & CFO (appointment previously disclosed October 2025). Brazis to receive $600,000 base salary and 80% bonus target. No new departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.6
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
4.6
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.21Resistance $94.17

Price Targets

$70
$92
A.Upside+25.4%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $70.04. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.08 (+25.4% upside). Prior stop was $70.04. Stop-loss: $70.04.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNR?

25 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair is an Irish-incorporated water solutions company with three segments: Flow (pumps, valves, filtration), Water...

Pentair is an Irish-incorporated water solutions company with three segments: Flow (pumps, valves, filtration), Water Solutions (commercial and residential water treatment), and Pool (pool equipment and accessories). Generated $4.2 billion in net sales in 2025 from approximately 9,000 employees; one Pool segment customer represented 18% of consolidated net sales in 2025.

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