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PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp.Sell4.4·$36.30-4.25%
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Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.30: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly... Read more

$36.30+6.2% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#51 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.90%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 2.54%)Payout28.57%sustainable
Stop $33.76Target $38.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$39.50+8.8%2 analysts
$38.54our TP
$36.30price
$39.50mean
$42

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.30: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$523M
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta1.17
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
3.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 138.0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.7
Roe
1.9
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
2.6
Moat
3.8
Fcf Quality
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.2
Earnings quality warning: 64% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
9.2
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.80Resistance $39.33

Price Targets

$34
$39
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PKOH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.30: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $33.76. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PKOH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.54 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $33.76. Stop-loss: $33.76.

What are the risks of investing in PKOH?

Target reached (-7.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is PKOH overvalued or undervalued?

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PKOH?

7 analysts cover PKOH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. do?Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured...

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly Components, and Engineered Products. The Supply Technologies segment offers Total Supply Management, a solution that manages aspects of supplying production parts and materials, such as engineering and design support, part usage and cost analysis, supplier selection, quality assurance, bar coding, product packaging and tracking, just-in-time and point-of-use delivery, electronic billing services, and ongoing technical support. This segment also provides production components, including valves, fuel hose assemblies, electro-mechanical hardware, labels, fittings, and steering components; and precision cold-formed and cold-extruded fasteners, and locknuts, as well as nuts, bolts, and wheel hardware under the SPAC brand. The Assembly Components segment offers high pressure direct fuel injection fuel rails and pipes; fuel filler pipes; plastic and rubber assemblies; Turbo Charging and Turbo Coolant hoses; and design engineering, machining, and parts assembly value-added services. The Engineered Products segment provides field services, induction heating and melting systems, pipe threading systems, and forged and machined products for the ferrous and non-ferrous metals, silicon, coatings, forging, foundry, automotive, and construction equipment industries. This segment also engineers and installs mechanical forging presses; sells spare parts, machine, induction harden, and surface finish crankshafts and camshafts for use in locomotives; and forge aerospace and defense structural components comprising landing gears and struts, and railcar center plate and draft lug rail products. Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

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