PKOH's quality score sits below the engine's floor with an already-reached analyst target and recent earnings misses, compounded by elevated put/call skew and modest insider selling.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor→Stable
- Analyst Target Reached Limited Upside→Stable
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Wait for pullback to $41.30. At $43.14 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $41.30 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest Assembly Components customers (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%.
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly... Read more
Wait for pullback to $41.30. At $43.14 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $41.30 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest Assembly Components customers (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS PKOH Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 432.13M USD - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Park-Ohio (PKOH): buy, sell, or hold post Q2 earnings? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Park-Ohio (PKOH): buy, sell, or hold post Q2 earnings? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Park-Ohio stock: Analyst flags weak growth and cash-flow record - ad-hoc-news.de — ad-hoc-news.de negative
- NEWS Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Estimates – NASDAQ:PKOH - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-11-02T11:53:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfive largest Assembly Components customers53%10-K Item 1: 'The five largest customers of Assembly Components accounted for approximately 53% and 55% of segment sales for 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomerautomotive and heavy-duty truck industries32%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 32% and 7% of our net sales during the year ended December 31, 2025 from the automotive and heavy-duty truck industries, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomerfive largest Supply Technologies customers36%10-K Item 1: 'The five largest customers, to which Supply Technologies sells through sole-source contracts to multiple operating divisions or locations, accounted for approximately 36% and 34% of the sales of Supply Technologies in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers25%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 25% of our net sales.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $41.30. At $43.14 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $41.30 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest Assembly Components customers (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $45.90 (+6.4%), stop $38.41 (−12.3%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $45.90 (+6.4% upside). Target $45.90 (+6.4%), stop $38.41 (−12.3%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $38.41.
Concentration risk — Customer: five largest Assembly Components customers (53.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
7 analysts cover PKOH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $54.
What does Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. do?Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured...
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly Components, and Engineered Products. The Supply Technologies segment offers Total Supply Management, a solution that manages aspects of supplying production parts and materials, such as engineering and design support, part usage and cost analysis, supplier selection, quality assurance, bar coding, product packaging and tracking, just-in-time and point-of-use delivery, electronic billing services, and ongoing technical support. This segment also provides production components, including valves, fuel hose assemblies, electro-mechanical hardware, labels, fittings, and steering components; and precision cold-formed and cold-extruded fasteners, and locknuts, as well as nuts, bolts, and wheel hardware under the SPAC brand. The Assembly Components segment offers high pressure direct fuel injection fuel rails and pipes; fuel filler pipes; plastic and rubber assemblies; Turbo Charging and Turbo Coolant hoses; and design engineering, machining, and parts assembly value-added services. The Engineered Products segment provides field services, induction heating and melting systems, pipe threading systems, and forged and machined products for the ferrous and non-ferrous metals, silicon, coatings, forging, foundry, automotive, and construction equipment industries. This segment also engineers and installs mechanical forging presses; sells spare parts, machine, induction harden, and surface finish crankshafts and camshafts for use in locomotives; and forge aerospace and defense structural components comprising landing gears and struts, and railcar center plate and draft lug rail products. Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.