Performance Food Group converts income to free cash flow at 224% and carries strong earnings growth potential, but quality scores fall below minimum thresholds at 3.6 out of 10, the stock has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and prices are at analyst resistance with no upside remaining.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor→Stable
- Exceptional Fcf Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Miss Pattern 3 Of 4→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.09: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty—from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations in North America. Revenue comes from product markups, with independent restaurant customers... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.09: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Performance Food Group Company
Latest news
- NEWS Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $125 — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $135 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $115 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Performance Food Gr Reports Q3 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T05:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductcigarettes and other tobacco products10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales volume depends upon the distribution of cigarettes and other tobacco products'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.09: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $107.67. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $110.91 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $107.67. Stop-loss: $107.67.
Target reached (-10.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).
Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 53.9 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $117.
What does Performance Food Group Company do?Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and...
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty—from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations in North America. Revenue comes from product markups, with independent restaurant customers generating higher margins than chain customers; approximately 43,000 employees serve food-away-from-home and convenience retail channels.