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Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. At $74.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including restaurants, healthcare, educational facilities, and lodging through U.S. Foodservice, International Foodservice, and SYGMA segments. It generated $81.4 billion in... Read more

$74.60+4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#3 of 5 Food Distribution
Stop $71.07Target $77.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$86.20+15.5%15 analysts
$77.58our TP
$74.60price
$86.20mean
$70
$100

Sell if holding. At $74.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and no CEO selling. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$35.4B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE81.9%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta
Dividend2.97%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C8.69bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$50-33.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02LOW
    Tom Peck, EVP and Chief Information and Digital Officer, resigned effective April 10, 2026 to accept another opportunity in a different industry. No disagreement with the Company cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Kenny Cheung resigned to accept opportunity at a Fortune 10 company. Brandon Sewell appointed interim CFO effective March 6, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotCEO activity: Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.42Resistance $77.03

Price Targets

$71
$78
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! CEO activity signal

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $74.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $71.07. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the SYY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.58 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $71.07. Stop-loss: $71.07.

What are the risks of investing in SYY?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is SYY overvalued or undervalued?

Sysco Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYY?

23 analysts cover SYY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Sysco Corporation do?Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including...

Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including restaurants, healthcare, educational facilities, and lodging through U.S. Foodservice, International Foodservice, and SYGMA segments. It generated $81.4 billion in annual sales in fiscal 2025 through product distribution to foodservice operators in North America and Europe.

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