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PATHUiPath, Inc.Sell6.1·$11.63+0.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UiPath combines high software quality — 156% free cash flow conversion, Rule of 40 of 48, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 — with 31% short interest that creates a potential squeeze setup, though a death cross and negative asymmetry make this a watch rather than an add.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Peg DiscountStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Short Squeeze PotentialStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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UiPath, Inc. (PATH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.63 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: UiPath Platform.

UiPath develops the UiPath Platform, an enterprise automation and agentic AI software platform combining robotic process automation, AI agent orchestration, process intelligence, document processing, and governance tools for industries including financial services, healthcare,... Read more

$11.63+1.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#20 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.43%
Stop $10.89Target $11.92(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$13.25+13.9%16 analysts
$11.92our TP
$11.63price
$13.25mean
$11
$17

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.63 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: UiPath Platform. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About UiPath, Inc.

About UiPath, Inc.

UiPath served approximately 10,747 customers as of January 31, 2026, with substantially all revenue derived from the UiPath Platform—the company's single integrated automation and agentic AI product suite. The company holds 389 issued patents and 1,086 pending applications globally, including 131 AI-related issued patents expiring between 2039 and 2045. A limited number of customers represent a substantial portion of revenue and ARR, making customer concentration a disclosed material risk.

UiPath earns revenue through perpetual licenses, multi-year SaaS subscriptions via Automation Cloud, and professional services. The UiPath Platform spans five capability areas: Maestro (agentic orchestration and AI models), Robotic Process Automation (attended and unattended bots), Intelligent Document Processing (extraction and validation), Test Cloud (automated end-to-end testing), and vertical solutions for financial services, healthcare, and public sector. Revenue is generated through a direct enterprise sales force augmented by a channel partner network including global and regional system integrators. Two acquisitions expanded the platform in fiscal 2026: Peak (March 2025, demand forecasting and supply chain AI) and WorkFusion (February 2026, financial services automation). The company competes with a diverse set including ERP vendors, standalone RPA vendors, and hyperscaler AI native offerings.

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Customer concentration is UiPath's most explicitly named structural dependency: the 10-K states that a limited number of customers represent a substantial portion of revenue and ARR, and that this revenue could decline significantly if those customers reduce or fail to renew. The company's voting structure further concentrates control—CEO Daniel Dines holds dual-class shares that represent a majority of combined voting power, meaning the outcome of shareholder votes on director elections, mergers, and governance matters is effectively predetermined by a single holder. Platform-level single-product dependency (substantially all revenue from UiPath Platform) and voting concentration compound the customer-concentration risk profile.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From UiPath, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: UiPath Platform
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA39.2
Profit Mgn19.6%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductUiPath Platform
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derive substantially all of our revenue from our UiPath Platform™'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A limited number of customers represent a substantial portion of our revenue and ARR'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee appointed Raghavendra Malpani, then serving as CTO, as Chief Product and Technology Officer effective March 25, 2026. No departure cited. Base salary set at $510,000 with 75% target annual bonus. Malpani previously held senior roles at Microsoft and Meta.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
52w Position
1.8
Support Resistance
1.9
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.87Resistance $12.14

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PATH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.63 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: UiPath Platform. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $10.89. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PATH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.92 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.89. Stop-loss: $10.89.

What are the risks of investing in PATH?

Concentration risk — Product: UiPath Platform; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

Is PATH overvalued or undervalued?

UiPath, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PATH?

28 analysts cover PATH with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $13.

What does UiPath, Inc. do?UiPath develops the UiPath Platform, an enterprise automation and agentic AI software platform combining robotic...

UiPath develops the UiPath Platform, an enterprise automation and agentic AI software platform combining robotic process automation, AI agent orchestration, process intelligence, document processing, and governance tools for industries including financial services, healthcare, and manufacturing. The company served approximately 10,747 customers globally as of January 31, 2026, generating substantially all revenue from platform licenses and SaaS subscriptions sold through direct sales and channel partners.

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