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PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporatioSell5.7·$33.26+3.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phibro Animal Health beat earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 16.7% and a return on equity of 30%, but carries negative free cash flow at 19% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2 that raises value-trap warning flags alongside the attractive forward price-to-earnings of 9.7x.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Strong Return On EquityStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red FlagStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Phibro Animal Health Corporatio (PAHC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.26: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-day MA.

Phibro Animal Health develops and markets roughly 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in about 90 countries, with Animal Health representing 74% of FY2025 net sales of $1.296 billion. Phibro sells to approximately 4,500 customers through feed manufacturers,... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.31%
IncomeYield1.44%(5y avg 2.55%)Payout20.60%sustainable
Stop $30.93Target $39.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$45.60+37.1%5 analysts
$39.67our TP
$33.26price
$45.60mean
$58

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.26: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

Phibro Animal Health generated $1.296 billion in net sales for fiscal year 2025, a 27% increase following the October 2024 acquisition of Zoetis's medicated feed additive portfolio for $297.5 million, which added $208.2 million in revenue and six manufacturing sites across the U.S., Italy, and China. Animal Health represented 74% of total net sales, with MFAs and other antibacterials and anticoccidials comprising 67% of that segment. The United States contributed 57% of company-wide revenue.

Phibro earns revenue through three segments: Animal Health (antibacterials, anticoccidials, nutritional specialties, and vaccines), Mineral Nutrition (trace mineral formulations focused on North American livestock), and Performance Products (specialty ingredients for personal care and industrial chemical industries). The company sells directly to integrated poultry, swine, and cattle producers or through animal feed manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and veterinarians. Poultry represented 36% of total FY2025 net sales, followed by cattle at 16% and dairy at 14%. Pricing in Mineral Nutrition tracks underlying commodity metals including zinc, manganese, and copper. Phibro is the sole worldwide manufacturer and marketer of virginiamycin, marketed as Stafac for poultry, swine, and cattle, with trade-secret know-how protecting against generic competition.

Show full overview

The FDA's potential withdrawal of approval for Mecadox (carbadox)—marketed primarily in the United States for swine feed to control salmonellosis and dysentery—represents a named binary regulatory risk: an adverse FDA ruling could eliminate that product line's revenue. Growing restrictions on antibacterials in food-producing animals, including implementation of FDA Guidance 273 and similar global initiatives, may impact the broader MFA portfolio, which generates a material portion of Phibro's sales and gross profits. The company also discloses dependence on Israeli and Brazilian operations as a specific risk, adding geopolitical exposure to its revenue base.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Phibro Animal Health Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
Below 200-day MA
Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (26 sells, 0.31% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.46
Dividend1.44%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductantibacterials and other related products
    10-K Item 1A: 'a material portion of our sales and gross profits are generated by antibacterials and other related products'
  • MEDIUMGeographicIsraeli and Brazilian operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on our Israeli and Brazilian operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Director Joyce J. Lee, a Class II member of the Board, resigned effective April 15, 2026. Resignation was not the result of any disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
1.1
Support Resistance
2.1
GatesINSIDER 0.31%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.46Resistance $33.99

Price Targets

$31
$40
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 0.31%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $33.26: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $30.93. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.67 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.93. Stop-loss: $30.93.

What are the risks of investing in PAHC?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-day MA; Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (26 sells, 0.31% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAHC?

10 analysts cover PAHC with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Phibro Animal Health Corporatio do?Phibro Animal Health develops and markets roughly 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in about 90...

Phibro Animal Health develops and markets roughly 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in about 90 countries, with Animal Health representing 74% of FY2025 net sales of $1.296 billion. Phibro sells to approximately 4,500 customers through feed manufacturers, distributors, wholesalers, and veterinarians, serving poultry, swine, cattle, and companion animal markets.

Related stocks: IRWD (Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · BHC (Bausch Health Companies Inc.) · COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.)
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