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Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company developing inhaled therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and PH-ILD. Revenue comes from sales of YUTREPIA (FDA-approved May 2025) and a profit-sharing agreement with Sandoz for Treprostinil Injection in the US. The company carries... Read more

Stop $35.92Target $44.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$50.67+31.3%9 analysts
$44.08our TP
$38.59price
$50.67mean
$19
$67

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA
Concentration risk — Supplier: Sandoz
Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA-66.9
Profit Mgn-43.5%
ROE-111.1%
Rev Growth3054.6%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV132%elevated
Max Pain$20-48.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductYUTREPIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are primarily dependent on the success of YUTREPIA, for which we recently received FDA approval for the treatment of PAH and PH-ILD'
  • HIGHSupplierSandoz
    10-K Item 1A: 'Liquidia PAH does not hold the FDA regulatory approval for Treprostinil Injection and is dependent on Sandoz to manufacture and supply Treprostinil Injection in compliance with FDA requirements'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
10.0
Industry growth leader

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
0.6
Debt Equity
0.6
Short Interest
1.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
5.2
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 16%High IV: 132%Above max pain $20Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 7 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.80Resistance $42.00

Price Targets

$36
$44
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LQDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.92. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LQDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.08 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.92. Stop-loss: $35.92.

What are the risks of investing in LQDA?

Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Supplier: Sandoz; Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0).

Is LQDA overvalued or undervalued?

Liquidia Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LQDA?

15 analysts cover LQDA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Liquidia Corporation do?Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company developing inhaled therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and PH-ILD....

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company developing inhaled therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and PH-ILD. Revenue comes from sales of YUTREPIA (FDA-approved May 2025) and a profit-sharing agreement with Sandoz for Treprostinil Injection in the US. The company carries an accumulated deficit of 626.3M and achieved partial profitability in Q3-Q4 2025.

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