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LQDALiquidia CorporationSell5.6·$70.00-2.51%
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Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $70.00, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606.

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH and PH-ILD in May 2025, and promoting Treprostinil Injection (generic parenteral treprostinil) under a profit-sharing arrangement with Sandoz. Revenue is... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.15%
Stop $63.25Target $71.76(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$66.13-5.5%8 analysts
$71.76our TP
$70.00price
$66.13mean
$59
$75

Sell if holding. At $70.00, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Liquidia Corporation

About Liquidia Corporation

Liquidia Corporation launched YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder) in June 2025 following FDA approval in May 2025 for both pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and pulmonary hypertension associated with interstitial lung disease (PH-ILD). The company also earns a profit share from Sandoz's generic Treprostinil Injection under a 2018 promotion agreement. Liquidia reported net losses of $68.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, and carried an accumulated deficit of $626.3 million despite achieving quarterly profitability in the third and fourth quarters of 2025.

Liquidia sells YUTREPIA through a targeted U.S. commercial field force and specialty pharmacies, distributing to healthcare providers who treat an estimated 45,000 PAH patients and approximately 60,000 PH-ILD patients in the United States. The company relies on single-source suppliers for the active pharmaceutical ingredient, the RS00 Model dry-powder inhaler, and encapsulation and packaging for YUTREPIA. Treprostinil Injection is manufactured and supplied entirely by Sandoz under Sandoz's ANDA; Liquidia PAH earns a profit share but holds no regulatory approval for that product. United Therapeutics has filed multiple patent and trade-secret lawsuits seeking injunctive relief that could remove YUTREPIA from the market. The pipeline's next major asset is L606, a liposomal treprostinil formulation licensed from Pharmosa Biopharm, currently in a global Phase 3 placebo-controlled efficacy study targeting 340 patients across more than 100 sites in at least 20 countries.

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The L606 pivotal trial in PH-ILD represents Liquidia's primary source of future revenue diversification, and the 10-K warns that the trial may not succeed and that delays could increase costs and impair commercialization timelines. Simultaneously, the existing revenue base could be severely curtailed if United Therapeutics obtains the injunctive relief it seeks, which could remove YUTREPIA from the PAH and/or PH-ILD market before L606 is available as a substitute. These two binary risks — litigation outcome and trial readout — converge on the same narrow commercialization window.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Liquidia Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA
Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)422.4
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA136.1
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE28.2%
Rev Growth4158.5%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV106%elevated
Max Pain$20-71.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductYUTREPIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are primarily dependent on the success of YUTREPIA, for which we recently received FDA approval for the treatment of PAH and PH-ILD'
  • HIGHpipelineL606
    10-K Item 1A: 'our planned pivotal clinical trial of L606, may not be successful and delays in such preclinical studies or clinical trials may cause our costs to increase'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle suppliers for YUTREPIA active ingredient, device, encapsulation and packaging
    10-K Item 1A: 'single suppliers for the active ingredient, the device, encapsulation and packaging of YUTREPIA and single suppliers for the drug product and device for L606'
  • HIGHcounterpartySandoz
    10-K Item 1A: 'Liquidia PAH does not hold the FDA regulatory approval for Treprostinil Injection and is dependent on Sandoz to manufacture and supply Treprostinil Injection'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.06Resistance $73.22

Price Targets

$63
$72
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LQDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $70.00, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $63.25. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LQDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.76 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $63.25. Stop-loss: $63.25.

What are the risks of investing in LQDA?

Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LQDA overvalued or undervalued?

Liquidia Corporation trades at a P/E of 422.4 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LQDA?

14 analysts cover LQDA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Liquidia Corporation do?Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH...

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH and PH-ILD in May 2025, and promoting Treprostinil Injection (generic parenteral treprostinil) under a profit-sharing arrangement with Sandoz. Revenue is derived from YUTREPIA sales and the Sandoz partnership; the company has an accumulated deficit of $626 million and achieved first profitability in Q3/Q4 2025.

Related stocks: ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · NBIX (Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna) · COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.)
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