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PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporatioSell5.7·$37.93
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phibro Animal Health beat earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 16.7% and a return on equity of 30%, but carries negative free cash flow at 19% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2 that raises value-trap warning flags alongside the attractive forward price-to-earnings of 9.7x.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Strong Return On Equity→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Phibro Animal Health Corporatio (PAHC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Phibro Animal Health makes medicated feed additives, nutritional specialties, vaccines and other animal health products, plus mineral nutrition and performance products, sold to livestock producers in North America, Latin America, Asia Pacific, Europe, Africa and the Middle... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.25%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 2.08%)Payout19.75%sustainable
Stop $35.27Target $43.62(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$44.00+16.0%4 analysts
$43.62our TP
$37.93price
$44.00mean
$35
$55

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

Phibro Animal Health generated $1.30 billion in net sales for the year ended June 30, 2025, up 27% from $1.02 billion the prior year, with its Animal Health segment contributing $963 million (74% of total), Mineral Nutrition $253 million, and Performance Products $80 million. The United States accounted for $740 million, or 57% of net sales, followed by Latin America and Canada at 23%, Europe, Middle East and Africa at 12%, and Asia Pacific at 8%.

Phibro sells roughly 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in about 90 countries to approximately 4,500 customers, either directly to integrated poultry, swine and cattle producers or through animal feed manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and veterinarians. Within Animal Health, MFAs and other antibacterial and anticoccidial products made up 67% of segment net sales in fiscal 2025, boosted by the October 2024 acquisition of Zoetis's medicated feed additive portfolio for approximately $297.5 million, which contributed $208.2 million in net sales and added six manufacturing sites in the U.S., Italy and China. Phibro states it is the sole worldwide manufacturer and marketer of virginiamycin, sold under the Stafac, Eskalin and V-Max brands, protected by trade-secret know-how rather than patents. The company also manufactures vaccines at dedicated facilities in Sligo, Ireland and Guarulhos, Brazil, and it discloses that a material portion of its sales and gross profits comes from antibacterials and related products.

Show full overview

Phibro's antibacterial franchise carries a regulatory overhang distinct from ordinary competitive risk: the company flags the potential FDA withdrawal of approval for Mecadox (carbadox), a swine antibacterial, alongside broader restrictions on antibacterial use in food-producing animals tied to FDA Guidance 273 and similar initiatives globally. Because a material portion of Phibro's sales and gross profits come from antibacterials and related MFA products -- the same category that includes both Mecadox and the company's sole-manufactured virginiamycin franchise (Stafac, Eskalin, V-Max) -- a regulatory setback on a single product or ingredient class would concentrate its impact rather than being absorbed across a diversified mix of unrelated product lines.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Phibro Animal Health Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE29.7%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.42
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerpoultry industry MFA sales40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 40% of our MFAs and other sales in fiscal year 2025 were to the poultry industry'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Director Joyce J. Lee, a Class II Director, informed the Company on April 13, 2026 she would resign effective April 15, 2026. Resignation not due to any disagreement with the Company; no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
2.7
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.05Resistance $39.26

Price Targets

$35
$44
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $35.27. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.62 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $35.27. Stop-loss: $35.27.

What are the risks of investing in PAHC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAHC?

10 analysts cover PAHC with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Phibro Animal Health Corporatio do?Phibro Animal Health makes medicated feed additives, nutritional specialties, vaccines and other animal health...

Phibro Animal Health makes medicated feed additives, nutritional specialties, vaccines and other animal health products, plus mineral nutrition and performance products, sold to livestock producers in North America, Latin America, Asia Pacific, Europe, Africa and the Middle East. About 40% of fiscal 2025 MFA and other sales went to the poultry industry.

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