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Phibro Animal Health Corporatio (PAHC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.38 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: antibacterials and other related products.

Phibro Animal Health markets approximately 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in approximately 90 countries across three segments: Animal Health ($963M, 74% of FY2025 net sales), Mineral Nutrition ($253M), and Performance Products ($80M). Revenue comes from... Read more

Stop $49.65Target $58.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$51.20-4.1%5 analysts
$58.88our TP
$53.38price
$51.20mean
$38
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.38 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: antibacterials and other related products. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: antibacterials and other related products
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE31.8%
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$45-15.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductantibacterials and other related products
    10-K Item 1A: 'a material portion of our sales and gross profits are generated by antibacterials and other related products'
  • MEDIUMGeographicIsraeli and Brazilian operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on our Israeli and Brazilian operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Director Joyce J. Lee resigned from the Board effective April 15, 2026. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the Company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.09Resistance $60.08

Price Targets

$50
$59
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.6% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.38 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: antibacterials and other related products. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $49.65. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.88 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $49.65. Stop-loss: $49.65.

What are the risks of investing in PAHC?

Concentration risk — Product: antibacterials and other related products; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAHC?

9 analysts cover PAHC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Phibro Animal Health Corporatio do?Phibro Animal Health markets approximately 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in approximately 90...

Phibro Animal Health markets approximately 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in approximately 90 countries across three segments: Animal Health ($963M, 74% of FY2025 net sales), Mineral Nutrition ($253M), and Performance Products ($80M). Revenue comes from antibacterials, anticoccidials, nutritional specialties, and vaccines sold to livestock producers and veterinarians. The U.S. accounted for 57% of FY2025 net sales.

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