Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico delivers top-tier operating metrics with a 38% return on equity, 30% net margins, and strong price momentum, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, free cash flow converts at only 18% of net income, and two consecutive earnings misses raise execution concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Roe And Margins→Stable
- Strong Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Consecutive Earnings Miss Risk↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific (PAC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Airports & Air Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $206.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $206.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific
Latest news
- NEWS PAC linked to Governor Morrisey raises $500k for GOP primaries - WOWK 13 News — WOWK 13 News neutral
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV (PAC) Shares Surge 3. - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS FanDuel and DraftKings Fund $41 Million Lobbying Effort by Super PAC - PYMNTS.com — PYMNTS.com neutral
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario Pacifico stock (MXP001691216): Why airport traffic recovery matters more now - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Announces Filing of 2025 Annual Report and Form 20-F - The Manila Times — The Manila Times neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T08:37:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $206.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $199.30. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $229.11 (+10.7% upside). Prior stop was $199.30. Stop-loss: $199.30.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover PAC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $263.
What does Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages...
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica. It also offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing, parking charges, leasing of space to these airlines, airport security and passenger walkway, and airport bus; complementary services, including baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance and repair, and fuel; cargo handling; and ground transportation services. In addition, the company provides non-aeronautical services, such as redesigning and modernizing terminal spaces and developing new commercial projects; telephone and internet services; and ground handling services under the brand Primesky, as well as advertising services. Further, it engages in commercial activities comprising leasing space in terminals to airlines and other service providers; retail stores, such as souvenir and gift shops, fashion and footwear stores, pharmacies, jewelry, electronics, cosmetics, and others; and various food and beverage services, as well as leasing space and designated parking areas to car rental service companies, including service counters, reservation booths, and vehicle parking facilities; and leasing space to timeshare developers, financial service providers, communications, and to operators of duty-free stores. Additionally, the company operates parking facilities; VIP lounges; convenience stores; and vending machines. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.