Skip to main content
PACGrupo Aeroportuario Del PacificSell5.3·$253.71+0.51%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico delivers top-tier operating metrics with a 38% return on equity, 30% net margins, and strong price momentum, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, free cash flow converts at only 18% of net income, and two consecutive earnings misses raise execution concerns.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Roe And MarginsStable
  • Strong Price MomentumStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific (PAC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $253.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in... Read more

$253.71+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.14%
IncomeYield3.48%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout84.94%at-risk
Stop $237.55Target $253.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$277.62+9.4%6 analysts
$253.91our TP
$253.71price
$277.62mean
$220
$312

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $253.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.4
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA87.8
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE37.6%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.24
Dividend3.48%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
5.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
2.7
52w Position
6.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.8
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $220.82Resistance $259.09

Price Targets

$238
$254
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $253.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $237.55. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the PAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $253.91 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $237.55. Stop-loss: $237.55.

What are the risks of investing in PAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PAC overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAC?

19 analysts cover PAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $278.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica. It also offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing, parking charges, leasing of space to these airlines, airport security and passenger walkway, and airport bus; complementary services, including baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance and repair, and fuel; cargo handling; and ground transportation services. In addition, the company provides non-aeronautical services, such as redesigning and modernizing terminal spaces and developing new commercial projects; telephone and internet services; and ground handling services under the brand Primesky, as well as advertising services. Further, it engages in commercial activities comprising leasing space in terminals to airlines and other service providers; retail stores, such as souvenir and gift shops, fashion and footwear stores, pharmacies, jewelry, electronics, cosmetics, and others; and various food and beverage services, as well as leasing space and designated parking areas to car rental service companies, including service counters, reservation booths, and vehicle parking facilities; and leasing space to timeshare developers, financial service providers, communications, and to operators of duty-free stores. Additionally, the company operates parking facilities; VIP lounges; convenience stores; and vending machines. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Related stocks: CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
Home Stocks PAC

Latest news

Latest News

WOWK 13 News83d ago
GuruFocus81d ago
PYMNTS.com81d ago
AD HOC NEWS77d ago
The Manila Times79d ago
Investing.com UK80d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat80d ago
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga56d ago
Benzinga61d ago
Benzinga61d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga76d agoEarnings
Benzinga89d ago