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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.19: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.58; Below-average business quality.

Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026. Currently pre-revenue, it is funded through equity from strategic investors including Toyota, Uber, and Delta Air Lines, and acquired Blade Urban Air Mobility... Read more

$10.19+6.0% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#5 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-3.74%
Stop $9.63Target $10.97(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$11.12+9.1%9 analysts
$10.97our TP
$10.19price
$11.12mean
$6
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.19: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Joby Aviation, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Didier Papadapoulos, President of Aircraft OEM, resigned effective July 3, 2026 to spend time with family after five years leading aircraft development. No immediate successor named; company expects to enter an advisory services agreement with Mr. Papadapoulos.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-6.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.4
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA-11.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-68.0%
Rev Growth
Beta2.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV88%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Didier Papadapoulos, President of Aircraft OEM, resigned effective July 3, 2026 to spend time with family after five years leading aircraft development. No immediate successor named; company expects to enter an advisory services agreement with Mr. Papadapoulos.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor effective March 3, 2026. No disagreements on accounting principles or practices cited. Prior audit reports were unqualified.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.8
Bollinger
3.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.6
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -490% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.19Resistance $11.19

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JOBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.19: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $9.63. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the JOBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.97 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.63. Stop-loss: $9.63.

What are the risks of investing in JOBY?

Target reached (-6.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is JOBY overvalued or undervalued?

Joby Aviation, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JOBY?

16 analysts cover JOBY with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Joby Aviation, Inc. do?Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026....

Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026. Currently pre-revenue, it is funded through equity from strategic investors including Toyota, Uber, and Delta Air Lines, and acquired Blade Urban Air Mobility in August 2025 to gain operational experience. FAA type certification is in progress under the powered-lift classification, with international certification efforts underway in the UK, Japan, Australia, UAE, and other markets.

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