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Pampa Energia S.A. (PAM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms... Read more

$82.41+21.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-17.28%
Stop $76.64Target $99.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$114.77+39.3%11 analysts
$99.85our TP
$82.41price
$114.77mean
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Pampa Energia S.A.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA145.1
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta-0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.01Resistance $84.08

Price Targets

$77
$100
A.Upside+21.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts11
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$115

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $99.85 (+21.2%), stop $76.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.85 (+21.2% upside). Target $99.85 (+21.2%), stop $76.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $76.64.

What are the risks of investing in PAM?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.49% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is PAM overvalued or undervalued?

Pampa Energia S.A. trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PAM?

11 analysts cover PAM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Pampa Energia S.A. do?Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas;...

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms with a 5,472 megawatt (MW) installed capacity. The company also explores for and produces oil and gas in the provinces of Neuquén and Río Negro. In addition, it produces petrochemicals, such as styrene, synthetic rubber, and polystyrene. Further, the company operates and maintains a 22,445 km high-voltage electricity transmission network in Argentina. Additionally, it holds a concession for the transportation of natural gas with 9,248 km of gas pipelines in the center, west, and south of Argentina; and processes and sells natural gas liquids in Bahía Blanca in the Province of Buenos Aires, as well as offers related advisory services. Pampa Energía S.A. was formerly known as Pampa Holding S.A. and changed its name to Pampa Energía S.A. in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 1945 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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