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Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to... Read more

$24.58+13.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 5 Airports & Air Services
Stop $23.39Target $27.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$32.00+30.2%7 analysts
$27.84our TP
$24.58price
$32.00mean
$36

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
9.0
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 15)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
15 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.11Resistance $27.80

Price Targets

$23
$28
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $23.39. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.84 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.39. Stop-loss: $23.39.

What are the risks of investing in CAAP?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is CAAP overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion America Airports SA trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAAP?

13 analysts cover CAAP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Corporacion America Airports SA do?Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It...

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América Airports S.A. operates as a subsidiary of A.C.I. Airports S.à r.l.

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