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CAAPCorporacion America Airports SASell5.6·$25.14
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Corporacion America Airports is deeply discounted with a 47% margin of safety and a strong Piotroski score, but repeated earnings misses and a downtrend explain the discount.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Airports→Stable
  • Cash Conversion Strength→Stable
  • Earnings Misses Pressure→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. At $25.14, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to... Read more

$25.14+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#3 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield14.74%
Stop $23.38Analyst target $28.19(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst consensus$32.40+28.9%6 analysts with price targets
$28.19Analyst target
$25.14price
$32.40mean
$36

Sell if holding. At $25.14, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 14, 2026

Recent Developments — Corporacion America Airports SA

Latest item Oct 14, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 23, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 44%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
4.8
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.78Resistance $25.81

Price Targets

$23
$28
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-23 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.14, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.38. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAAP stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.19 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $23.38. Stop-loss: $23.38.

What are the risks of investing in CAAP?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CAAP overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion America Airports SA trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAAP?

15 analysts rate CAAP, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $32.

What does Corporacion America Airports SA do?Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It...

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América Airports S.A. operates as a subsidiary of A.C.I. Airports S.à r.l.

Related stocks: OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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