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Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro (OMAB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. At $104.89, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. The company operates 13 international airports in Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango, San... Read more

$104.89+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 5 Airports & Air Services
Stop $100.76Target $110.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$127.08+21.2%8 analysts
$110.56our TP
$104.89price
$127.08mean
$145

Sell if holding. At $104.89, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn32.6%
ROE43.4%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.58
Dividend4.62%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$105+0.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $103.88Resistance $118.89

Price Targets

$101
$111
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $104.89, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $100.76. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.56 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $100.76. Stop-loss: $100.76.

What are the risks of investing in OMAB?

Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is OMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMAB?

22 analysts cover OMAB with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. The company operates 13 international airports in Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Tampico, Torreón, and Zacatecas; and Ciudad Juárez and Reynosa cities. It is also involved in leasing of space to restaurants and retailers. In addition, the company engages in the operation of parking facilities; OMA Carga business comprising warehouses that provides cargo logistics services, such as storage, handling, custody maneuvers, loading and unloading, x-ray screening of exports, and other services; the Terminal 2 NH Collection Hotel; and the Hilton Garden Inn Hotel at the Monterrey airport; and non-permanent ground transportation. Further, it provides aeronautical services, which include passenger, aircraft landing and parking, airport security, passenger walkway, and complementary services; car parking; checked baggage-screening services; and construction services. Additionally, the company builds and operates industrial park at the Monterrey airport. Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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