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OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Sell5.7·$96.88-0.13%
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Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro (OMAB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. It operates 13 international airports in Monterrey; Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango,... Read more

$96.88+11.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield59.32%
IncomeYield5.94%(5y avg 3.78%)Payout84.21%at-risk
Stop $93.83Target $107.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$124.03+28.0%8 analysts
$107.90our TP
$96.88price
$124.03mean
$145

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn32.6%
ROE43.4%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.36
Dividend5.94%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.4
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $96.73Resistance $106.20

Price Targets

$94
$108
A.Upside+11.4%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $93.83. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.90 (+11.4% upside). Prior stop was $93.83. Stop-loss: $93.83.

What are the risks of investing in OMAB?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is OMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMAB?

21 analysts cover OMAB with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $124.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. It operates 13 international airports in Monterrey; Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Tampico, Torreón, and Zacatecas; and Ciudad Juárez and Reynosa cities. The company is also involved in leasing of space to restaurants and retailers. In addition, it engages in the operation of parking facilities; OMA Carga business comprising warehouses that provides cargo logistics services, such as storage, handling, custody maneuvers, loading and unloading, x-ray screening of exports, and other services; the Terminal 2 NH Collection Hotel; and the Hilton Garden Inn Hotel at the Monterrey airport; and non-permanent ground transportation. Further, the company provides aeronautical services, which include passenger, aircraft landing and parking, airport security, passenger walkway, and complementary services; car parking; checked baggage-screening services; and construction services. Additionally, it builds and operates industrial park at the Monterrey airport. Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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