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OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Sell5.4·$99.06
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte is a high-quality Mexican airport operator with a 43% return on equity, 33% net margin, and strong momentum indicators including a volume surge of 2.3 times average, though consecutive earnings misses and the stock trading above its near-term resistance target limit entry appeal at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Returns Quality Profile→Stable
  • Strong Volume Momentum Surge↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro (OMAB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $99.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. It operates 13 international airports in Monterrey; Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango,... Read more

$99.06+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield46.19%
IncomeYield5.82%(5y avg 5.01%)Payout89.88%at-risk
Stop $93.64Analyst target $101.28(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$116.41+17.5%7 analysts
$101.28Analyst target
$99.06price
$116.41mean
$140

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $99.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA1.7
Profit Mgn33.2%
ROE60.5%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta0.31
Dividend5.82%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
7.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 5.8%

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $87.31Resistance $100.26

Price Targets

$94
$101
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $99.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $93.64. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the OMAB stock price target?

Analyst target: $101.28 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $93.64. Stop-loss: $93.64.

What are the risks of investing in OMAB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is OMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMAB?

19 analysts cover OMAB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. It operates 13 international airports in Monterrey; Acapulco, Mazatlán, and Zihuatanejo; Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Tampico, Torreón, and Zacatecas; and Ciudad Juárez and Reynosa cities. The company is also involved in leasing of space to restaurants and retailers. In addition, it engages in the operation of parking facilities; OMA Carga business comprising warehouses that provides cargo logistics services, such as storage, handling, custody maneuvers, loading and unloading, x-ray screening of exports, and other services; the Terminal 2 NH Collection Hotel; and the Hilton Garden Inn Hotel at the Monterrey airport; and non-permanent ground transportation. Further, the company provides aeronautical services, which include passenger, aircraft landing and parking, airport security, passenger walkway, and complementary services; car parking; checked baggage-screening services; and construction services. Additionally, it builds and operates industrial park at the Monterrey airport. Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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