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PACGrupo Aeroportuario Del PacificHold6.1·$246.55
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico delivers top-tier operating metrics with a 38% return on equity, 30% net margins, and strong price momentum, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, free cash flow converts at only 18% of net income, and two consecutive earnings misses raise execution concerns.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Roe And Margins→Stable
  • Strong Price Momentum↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific (PAC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in... Read more

$246.55-13.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield77.43%
Stop $230.33Analyst target $214.19(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$246.20-0.1%7 analysts with price targets
$246.55price
$246.20mean
$210
$277

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 92. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 109d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027109d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$14.7B
EV/EBITDA94.0
Profit Mgn29.5%
ROE26.7%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta0.19
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.5
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 109d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
92 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $192.65Resistance $249.12

Price Targets

A.Upside-13.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (109d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 92. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $214.19 reached (−13.1%), stop $230.33 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAC stock price target?

Analyst target $214.19 reached (−13.1% from $246.55); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $214.19 reached (−13.1%), stop $230.33 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $230.33.

What are the risks of investing in PAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is PAC overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PAC?

19 analysts rate PAC, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $246.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica. It also offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing, parking charges, leasing of space to these airlines, airport security and passenger walkway, and airport bus; complementary services, including baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance and repair, and fuel; cargo handling; and ground transportation services. In addition, the company provides non-aeronautical services, such as redesigning and modernizing terminal spaces and developing new commercial projects; telephone and internet services; and ground handling services under the brand Primesky, as well as advertising services. Further, it engages in commercial activities comprising leasing space in terminals to airlines and other service providers; retail stores, such as souvenir and gift shops, fashion and footwear stores, pharmacies, jewelry, electronics, cosmetics, and others; and various food and beverage services, as well as leasing space and designated parking areas to car rental service companies, including service counters, reservation booths, and vehicle parking facilities; and leasing space to timeshare developers, financial service providers, communications, and to operators of duty-free stores. Additionally, the company operates parking facilities; VIP lounges; convenience stores; and vending machines. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Related stocks: OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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