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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific (PAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $248.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in... Read more

$248.90+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 5 Airports & Air Services
Stop $233.17Target $263.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$277.07+11.3%7 analysts
$263.69our TP
$248.90price
$277.07mean
$229
$334

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $248.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE37.6%
Rev Growth-20.6%
Beta0.37
Dividend3.58%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
5.5

Revenue shrinking — -20.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -21%
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $232.06Resistance $269.07

Price Targets

$233
$264
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $248.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $233.17. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $263.69 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $233.17. Stop-loss: $233.17.

What are the risks of investing in PAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PAC overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAC?

21 analysts cover PAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $277.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and manages airports in Mexico and Jamaica. The company operates twelve international airports in the Pacific and Central region of Mexico; and two international airports in Jamaica. It also offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing, parking charges, leasing of space to these airlines, airport security and passenger walkway, and airport bus; complementary services, including baggage handling, catering, aircraft maintenance and repair, and fuel; cargo handling; and ground transportation services. In addition, the company provides non-aeronautical services, such as redesigning and modernizing terminal spaces and developing new commercial projects; telephone and internet services; and ground handling services under the brand Primesky, as well as advertising services. Further, it engages in commercial activities comprising leasing space in terminals to airlines and other service providers; retail stores, such as souvenir and gift shops, fashion and footwear stores, pharmacies, jewelry, electronics, cosmetics, and others; and various food and beverage services, as well as leasing space and designated parking areas to car rental service companies, including service counters, reservation booths, and vehicle parking facilities; and leasing space to timeshare developers, financial service providers, communications, and to operators of duty-free stores. Additionally, the company operates parking facilities; VIP lounges; convenience stores; and vending machines. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico.

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