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OTISOtis Worldwide CorporationSell5.6·$71.41-0.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Otis Worldwide combines a near-perfect Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 with 18% analyst upside and improving technical momentum including a recovering moving average crossover, though its heavy international revenue exposure of 71% and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.53 create meaningful downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Financial Health ScoreStable
  • Analyst Upside Target GapStable
  • International Revenue ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%).

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New... Read more

$71.41+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#26 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.28%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 1.50%)Payout43.70%sustainable
Stop $69.05Target $77.28(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$88.83+24.4%12 analysts
$77.28our TP
$71.41price
$88.83mean
$105

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — Otis Worldwide Corporation

Generated 2026-09-04T19:02:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.2%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$27.2B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.88
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 71% of our 2025 net sales derived from international operations'
  • LOWGeographicChina New Equipment
    10-K Item 1A: 'New Equipment net sales in China representing approximately one fifth of our global New Equipment net sales and over half of our global New Equipment unit volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
9.6
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $70.10Resistance $73.94

Price Targets

$69
$77
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $69.05. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.28 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $69.05. Stop-loss: $69.05.

What are the risks of investing in OTIS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued?

Otis Worldwide Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OTIS?

22 analysts cover OTIS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Otis Worldwide Corporation do?Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200...

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New Equipment contributed 35% of net sales, and international operations accounted for approximately 71% of 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · GEV (GE Vernova Inc.) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.)
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