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OTISOtis Worldwide CorporationHold5.6·$72.63-0.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Otis Worldwide combines a near-perfect Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 with 18% analyst upside and improving technical momentum including a recovering moving average crossover, though its heavy international revenue exposure of 71% and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.53 create meaningful downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Financial Health ScoreStable
  • Analyst Upside Target GapStable
  • International Revenue ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New... Read more

$72.63+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#19 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.19%
IncomeYield2.41%(5y avg 1.50%)Payout43.70%sustainable
Stop $69.59Target $77.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$89.42+23.1%12 analysts
$77.79our TP
$72.63price
$89.42mean
$107

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Otis Worldwide Corporation

Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$27.6B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.88
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.34bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$100+37.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 71% of our 2025 net sales derived from international operations'
  • LOWGeographicChina New Equipment
    10-K Item 1A: 'New Equipment net sales in China representing approximately one fifth of our global New Equipment net sales and over half of our global New Equipment unit volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $68.84Resistance $74.87

Price Targets

$70
$78
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTIS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $77.79 (+7.1%), stop $69.59 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.79 (+7.1% upside). Target $77.79 (+7.1%), stop $69.59 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $69.59.

What are the risks of investing in OTIS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (71.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OTIS overvalued or undervalued?

Otis Worldwide Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OTIS?

22 analysts cover OTIS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Otis Worldwide Corporation do?Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200...

Otis Worldwide manufactures, installs, and services elevators, escalators, and moving walkways across more than 200 countries, with Service contributing 65% of 2025 net sales and 91% of segment operating profit from a portfolio of roughly 2.5 million units globally. New Equipment contributed 35% of net sales, and international operations accounted for approximately 71% of 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · GEV (GE Vernova Inc.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)
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