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The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $140.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and... Read more

$140.80+14.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#24 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $131.93Target $161.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$185.25+31.6%8 analysts
$161.17our TP
$140.80price
$185.25mean
$203

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $140.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.5% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)13.3
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn-8.7%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth-14.5%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.81bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$110-21.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 25, 2026, the board of directors of The Middleby Corporation (the "Company") appointed Brittany Cerwin (age 42) as Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately. Ms. Cerwin has been Chief Accounting Officer of the Company since May 2023. Prior to becoming Chief Accounting Officer, Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 5, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Middleby Corporation (the "Company") appointed Glenn A. Eisenberg as a director of the Company. In connection with his appointment to the Board, Mr.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit No. | | Description | 99.1 | | [Press Release, dated February 4, 2026, issued by The Middleby Corporation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
8.6
Attractive P/E vs peers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $128.48Resistance $147.99

Price Targets

$132
$161
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIDD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $140.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $131.93. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIDD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $161.17 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $131.93. Stop-loss: $131.93.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.5% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Is MIDD overvalued or undervalued?

The Middleby Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MIDD?

16 analysts cover MIDD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $185.

What does The Middleby Corporation do?The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary...

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and service of a broad line of (i) foodservice equipment, integrated IoT solutions and universal controllers used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens and (ii) food preparation, cooking, baking, chil...

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