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OCOwens Corning IncSell5.3·$138.72+2.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Owens Corning trades at a very attractive forward P/E of 10.4x with a PEG of 0.03, and has recovered its technical momentum with a golden cross and rising on-balance volume, but quality fundamentals fall well below the investment floor with a low moat score and declining revenue of minus 10% year-over-year.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Deep Valuation DiscountStable
  • Technical Momentum RecoveryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Owens Corning Inc (OC) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and Doors (21%), generating $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 with roughly 25,000 employees in 31 countries. Revenue comes from asphalt shingles, fiberglass... Read more

$138.72+14.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 25 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield7.93%
IncomeYield2.35%(5y avg 1.64%)Payout31.58%sustainable
Stop $129.82Target $158.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$176.53+27.3%15 analysts
$158.88our TP
$138.72price
$176.53mean
$198

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Owens Corning Inc

About Owens Corning Inc

Owens Corning generated $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 across three reportable segments: Roofing at 43% of segment net sales, Insulation at 36%, and Doors at 21%. The company employed roughly 25,000 people in 31 countries. The Doors segment entered the portfolio via the May 2024 acquisition of Masonite International Corporation; the Glass Reinforcements business was classified as discontinued operations following a February 2025 agreement to sell it for roughly $474 million net of cash, with an additional loss on sale of approximately $140 million disclosed in April 2026 due to revised transaction terms.

Roofing demand is driven by residential repair and remodeling, new construction, and storm-intensity variability; oxidized asphalt, a key input, correlates to crude oil prices. One raw material in the Roofing segment is sourced from a sole supplier under a long-term supply contract; a supply disruption would halt production until the source is replaced or the product is reformulated, per the 10-K. The company is the second-largest producer of asphalt shingles in the United States and North America's largest producer of residential, commercial, and industrial fiberglass insulation. Insulation demand in North America follows housing starts on a roughly three-month lag, with a geographic mix spanning the United States, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Doors are distributed through one-step and two-step wholesale distributors to homebuilders and contractors, plus retail home centers in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Two customers represented 16% and 12% of annual net sales in 2025; loss or consolidation of either could materially reduce revenues. Environmental compliance operating costs totaled approximately $78 million in 2025.

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Natural gas is the primary energy source for Owens Corning's European Insulation operations, exposing those facilities to European gas price volatility and potential energy rationing if supply shortages occur. U.S. tariffs — including baseline tariffs across all countries and individualized reciprocal tariffs on China — may raise raw material costs and reduce margins; the company implemented short- and long-term mitigation efforts but cannot assure these strategies will succeed. In April 2026, CFO Todd Fister was promoted to a combined Chief Financial and Operating Officer role while the company conducts an external search for a dedicated Chief Financial Officer, creating a transitional leadership structure.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From Owens Corning Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — Owens Corning Inc

Generated 2026-09-05T19:47:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$11.0B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn-6.8%
ROE-9.5%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta1.32
Dividend2.35%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$185+33.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
7.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Moat
3.1
Roa
3.9
Current Ratio
4.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
7.1
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $132.59Resistance $159.88

Price Targets

$130
$159
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $129.82. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $158.88 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $129.82. Stop-loss: $129.82.

What are the risks of investing in OC?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is OC overvalued or undervalued?

Owens Corning Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OC?

28 analysts cover OC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $177.

What does Owens Corning Inc do?Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and...

Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and Doors (21%), generating $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 with roughly 25,000 employees in 31 countries. Revenue comes from asphalt shingles, fiberglass insulation, and interior/exterior doors sold through distributors, home centers, and retail channels. Two customers represented 16% and 12% of 2025 annual net sales.

Related stocks: MAIR (Madison Air Solutions Corporati) · AAON (AAON, Inc.) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · GFF (Griffon Corporation) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.)
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