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OCOwens Corning IncSell4.4·$146.70-0.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Owens Corning trades at a very attractive forward P/E of 10.4x with a PEG of 0.03, and has recovered its technical momentum with a golden cross and rising on-balance volume, but quality fundamentals fall well below the investment floor with a low moat score and declining revenue of minus 10% year-over-year.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Deep Valuation DiscountStable
  • Technical Momentum RecoveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Owens Corning Inc (OC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $146.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and Doors (21%), generating $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 with roughly 25,000 employees in 31 countries. Revenue comes from asphalt shingles, fiberglass... Read more

$146.70+6.8% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#24 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.36%
IncomeYield2.03%(5y avg 1.59%)Payout31.58%sustainable
Stop $136.51Target $156.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$151.79+3.5%14 analysts
$156.71our TP
$146.70price
$151.79mean
$125
$188

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $146.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Owens Corning Inc

About Owens Corning Inc

Owens Corning generated $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 across three reportable segments: Roofing at 43% of segment net sales, Insulation at 36%, and Doors at 21%. The company employed roughly 25,000 people in 31 countries. The Doors segment entered the portfolio via the May 2024 acquisition of Masonite International Corporation; the Glass Reinforcements business was classified as discontinued operations following a February 2025 agreement to sell it for roughly $474 million net of cash, with an additional loss on sale of approximately $140 million disclosed in April 2026 due to revised transaction terms.

Roofing demand is driven by residential repair and remodeling, new construction, and storm-intensity variability; oxidized asphalt, a key input, correlates to crude oil prices. One raw material in the Roofing segment is sourced from a sole supplier under a long-term supply contract; a supply disruption would halt production until the source is replaced or the product is reformulated, per the 10-K. The company is the second-largest producer of asphalt shingles in the United States and North America's largest producer of residential, commercial, and industrial fiberglass insulation. Insulation demand in North America follows housing starts on a roughly three-month lag, with a geographic mix spanning the United States, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Doors are distributed through one-step and two-step wholesale distributors to homebuilders and contractors, plus retail home centers in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Two customers represented 16% and 12% of annual net sales in 2025; loss or consolidation of either could materially reduce revenues. Environmental compliance operating costs totaled approximately $78 million in 2025.

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Natural gas is the primary energy source for Owens Corning's European Insulation operations, exposing those facilities to European gas price volatility and potential energy rationing if supply shortages occur. U.S. tariffs — including baseline tariffs across all countries and individualized reciprocal tariffs on China — may raise raw material costs and reduce margins; the company implemented short- and long-term mitigation efforts but cannot assure these strategies will succeed. In April 2026, CFO Todd Fister was promoted to a combined Chief Financial and Operating Officer role while the company conducts an external search for a dedicated Chief Financial Officer, creating a transitional leadership structure.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From Owens Corning Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-10.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-5.4%
ROE-9.4%
Rev Growth-10.5%
Beta1.30
Dividend2.03%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -10.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
7.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
2.9
Roa
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $114.68Resistance $159.91

Price Targets

$137
$157
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $146.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $136.51. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $156.71 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $136.51. Stop-loss: $136.51.

What are the risks of investing in OC?

Target reached (-10.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is OC overvalued or undervalued?

Owens Corning Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OC?

27 analysts cover OC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $152.

What does Owens Corning Inc do?Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and...

Owens Corning makes building products in three segments: Roofing (43% of segment net sales), Insulation (36%), and Doors (21%), generating $10.1 billion in net sales in 2025 with roughly 25,000 employees in 31 countries. Revenue comes from asphalt shingles, fiberglass insulation, and interior/exterior doors sold through distributors, home centers, and retail channels. Two customers represented 16% and 12% of 2025 annual net sales.

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