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NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.Buy Wait6.1·$304.20-3.70%
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait for pullback to $265.54. BUY gates pass at $304.20, but concentration risk — Supplier: limited number of equipment and materials suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $265.54 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

NXP Semiconductors designs and sells semiconductors for automotive, industrial & IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure markets, generating $12,269 million in revenue for FY2025. The company employs a hybrid manufacturing model combining owned wafer fabs in the U.S.,... Read more

$304.20+15.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#9 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.42%
IncomeYield1.28%(5y avg 1.68%)Payout38.78%sustainable
Entry $265.54(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $233.31Target $333.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1Setup A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$303.68-0.2%31 analysts
$333.15our TP
$304.20price
$303.68mean
$200
$380

Wait for pullback to $265.54. BUY gates pass at $304.20, but concentration risk — Supplier: limited number of equipment and materials suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $265.54 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-7.8% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: limited number of equipment and materials suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.2
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$79.8B
EV/EBITDA21.2
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE25.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.79
Dividend1.28%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$430+41.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierlimited number of equipment and materials suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain equipment and materials needed in our manufacturing operations are only available from a limited number of suppliers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $279.36Resistance $339.95

Price Targets

$233
$266
$333
A.Upside+9.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NXPI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $265.54. BUY gates pass at $304.20, but concentration risk — Supplier: limited number of equipment and materials suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $265.54 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-7.8% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $333.15 (+9.5%), stop $233.31 (−30.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NXPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $333.15 (+15.8% upside). Target $333.15 (+9.5%), stop $233.31 (−30.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $233.31.

What are the risks of investing in NXPI?

Concentration risk — Supplier: limited number of equipment and materials suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is NXPI overvalued or undervalued?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. trades at a P/E of 30.2 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NXPI?

39 analysts cover NXPI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $304.

What does NXP Semiconductors N.V. do?NXP Semiconductors designs and sells semiconductors for automotive, industrial & IoT, mobile, and communication...

NXP Semiconductors designs and sells semiconductors for automotive, industrial & IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure markets, generating $12,269 million in revenue for FY2025. The company employs a hybrid manufacturing model combining owned wafer fabs in the U.S., Netherlands, and Singapore with third-party foundries, and completed three acquisitions in 2025: TTTech Auto ($766M), Aviva Links ($222M), and Kinara ($284M). The automotive segment targets ADAS, electrification, and software-defined vehicles as primary growth drivers.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · SITM (SiTime Corporation)
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