Skip to main content
NVTSNavitas Semiconductor CorporatiSell3.8·$11.46+4.99%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Navitas Semiconductor is a high-beta gallium nitride and silicon carbide chip maker with revenue declining 39% year-over-year, a quality score of 2.4/10, and 17% short interest, though on-balance volume is rising and the company has beat or met EPS estimates in the last 3 quarters.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Revenue DeclineStable
  • Obv Accumulation Despite WeaknessImproving
  • Weak Quality No MoatStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati (NVTS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5QualityShortHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.46: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30... Read more

$11.46+9.1% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#54 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.65%
Stop $10.72Target $12.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$14.46+26.2%8 analysts
$12.58our TP
$11.46price
$14.46mean
$8
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.46: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 2/7 gates (semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

About Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

Navitas Semiconductor sources GaN wafer fabrication from TSMC (Taiwan) and GlobalFoundries (United States), and SiC fabrication from X-Fab (United States), operating as a fabless power semiconductor company. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30 million SiC devices across a 190-person global workforce. In late 2025, the Navitas 2.0 pivot de-emphasized mobile and consumer markets in favor of AI data centers, energy infrastructure, and industrial electrification.

Navitas earns revenue from hardware sales of GaN power ICs (GaNFast brand) and SiC MOSFETs and diodes (GeneSiC brand), distributed through a concentrated group of key distribution partners that was further reduced under the Navitas 2.0 restructuring. The company targets four priority markets — AI data centers, energy and grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification — explicitly excluding electric vehicles and low-voltage SiC from its addressed market. Manufacturing is fully contracted: TSMC and GlobalFoundries supply GaN wafers, X-Fab supplies SiC wafers, and assembly and packaging occur at subcontractors primarily in Asia. The 10-K states that the company relies on single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services and that a limited number of customers account for a significant portion of revenue. Named GaN competitors include Infineon Technologies AG, Power Integrations, Texas Instruments, Innoscience, Renesas, and EPC; named SiC competitors include Infineon, Wolfspeed, ON Semiconductor, ROHM, Qorvo, and STMicroelectronics. Silicon-based solutions from Infineon, STMicroelectronics, and ON Semiconductor remain lower-cost incumbent alternatives.

Show full overview

In March 2026, Navitas disclosed via Form 8-K that CFO Todd Glickman was departing, with Tonya Stevens — formerly at Lattice Semiconductor — succeeding him as CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026. This CFO transition coincided with the Navitas 2.0 reorganization, during which the 10-K warns that mobile and consumer revenue may decline faster than high-power market revenue ramps. Products for AI data centers require larger die sizes, advanced process nodes, and longer qualification cycles than consumer devices — raising up-front R&D investments and extending payback timelines.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Navitas Semiconductor Corporati's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (20 sells, 0.22% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-78.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-36.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-35.2%
Rev Growth-38.7%
Beta3.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV155%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services, and on a limited number of suppliers of other materials, leaving us vulnerable to supply chain disruption'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of customers account for a significant portion of our current and anticipated revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Todd Glickman departing; Tonya Stevens (formerly Lattice Semiconductor, Nasdaq: LSCC) appointed CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    Compensatory arrangement: Company agreed March 13, 2026 to accelerate vesting of 211,528 RSUs for departing CFO Todd Glickman in recognition of his service through the March 30, 2026 transition date.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 8 to 10 members; Gregory M. Fischer appointed Class III director effective April 7, 2026, also joining Compensation and Executive Steering Committees. No reason for expansion cited beyond standard governance.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Davin D. Lee appointed Class III director effective April 30, 2026, also joining Compensation and Governance and Sustainability Committees. Routine board appointment; no successor named for any vacancy.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -38.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -39%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
0.2
Conservative debt levels

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
8.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Macd
7.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+12.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 4.38%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.74Resistance $18.28

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (20 sells, 0.22% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.46: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.72. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the NVTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.58 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $10.72. Stop-loss: $10.72.

What are the risks of investing in NVTS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services; Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.9%), Material insider selling (20 sells, 0.22% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is NVTS overvalued or undervalued?

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -78.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVTS?

15 analysts cover NVTS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Navitas Semiconductor Corporati do?Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy...

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30 million SiC devices; manufacturing is contracted to TSMC, GlobalFoundries, and X-Fab.

Related stocks: NVEC (NVE Corporation) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) · MXL (MaxLinear, Inc)
Home Stocks NVTS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoProduct
Benzinga10d ago
Benzinga18d agoLegal
Benzinga19d agoLegal
Benzinga19d ago
Benzinga19d ago
Benzinga20d agoLegal
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga38d ago
Benzinga42d ago
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga52d ago
Benzinga54d ago
Benzinga54d agoProduct
Benzinga54d ago
Benzinga54d ago
Benzinga55d ago
Benzinga56d ago
Benzinga66d agoLegal
Loading more...