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Navitas Semiconductor Corporati (NVTS) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power integrated circuits and SiC power devices for AI data centers, energy/grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification (Navitas 2.0 pivot announced late 2025). It operates as a fabless design house relying on... Read more

$15.72+23.3% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#44 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $14.62Target $19.39(resistance)A.R:R -3.7:1
Analyst target$8.15-48.2%8 analysts
$19.39our TP
$15.72price
$8.15mean
$4
$19

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val3.0Qual3.1Grw5.0Mom6.7Sent3.5Ins3.4Peer1.9Tech4.1Risk2.63.8OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for front-end manufacturing
Target reached (-54.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-110.0
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA-54.7
Profit Mgn-254.7%
ROE-29.5%
Rev Growth-59.4%
Beta3.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV150%elevated
Max Pain$3-80.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle sources of supply for front-end manufacturing
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services, and on a limited number of suppliers of other materials'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Gregory M. Fischer appointed Class III director effective April 7, 2026, to serve until 2027 annual meeting. Appointed to Compensation Committee and Executive Steering Committee. Standard non-employee director compensation.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    On March 13, 2026, Navitas accelerated vesting of 211,528 RSUs for departing CFO Todd Glickman in recognition of his transition service through March 30, 2026. Compensatory arrangement; transition to incoming CFO Tonya Stevens already underway.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Tonya Stevens appointed CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026. Todd Glickman departing to pursue new opportunities; remaining through Transition Date for smooth handoff. Stevens joins from Lattice Semiconductor where she was VP/CAO.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO and Treasurer Todd Glickman departing by mutual decision to pursue new opportunities. No successor named at time of filing; Glickman to remain temporarily while company searches for new CFO.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.1

Volatile — 12.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Short Interest
0.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
4.1
Put Call
5.0
Days To Cover
8.4
High short interest justified: 28%High IV: 150%Above max pain $3Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -254.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
2.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
0.5
Llm Sentiment
4.4
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesA.R:R -3.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.05Resistance $19.79

Price Targets

$15
$19
A.Upside+23.3%
A.R:R-3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-54.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.62. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the NVTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.39 (+23.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.62. Stop-loss: $14.62.

What are the risks of investing in NVTS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for front-end manufacturing; Target reached (-54.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is NVTS overvalued or undervalued?

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -110.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVTS?

15 analysts cover NVTS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Navitas Semiconductor Corporati do?Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power integrated circuits and SiC power devices for AI data centers, energy/grid...

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power integrated circuits and SiC power devices for AI data centers, energy/grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification (Navitas 2.0 pivot announced late 2025). It operates as a fabless design house relying on partner foundries; over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30 million SiC devices have been shipped.

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