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NVTSNavitas Semiconductor CorporatiSell4.8·$9.33
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Navitas Semiconductor is a high-beta gallium nitride and silicon carbide chip maker with revenue declining 39% year-over-year, a quality score of 2.4/10, and 17% short interest, though on-balance volume is rising and the company has beat or met EPS estimates in the last 3 quarters.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Revenue Decline→Stable
  • Obv Accumulation Despite Weakness↑Improving
  • Weak Quality No Moat→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati (NVTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.33: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30... Read more

$9.33+34.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#47 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.16%
Stop $8.68Analyst target $12.52(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$14.39+54.2%7 analysts with price targets
$12.52Analyst target
$9.33price
$14.39mean
$8
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.33: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 109d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

About Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

Navitas Semiconductor sources GaN wafer fabrication from TSMC (Taiwan) and GlobalFoundries (United States), and SiC fabrication from X-Fab (United States), operating as a fabless power semiconductor company. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30 million SiC devices across a 190-person global workforce. In late 2025, the Navitas 2.0 pivot de-emphasized mobile and consumer markets in favor of AI data centers, energy infrastructure, and industrial electrification.

Navitas earns revenue from hardware sales of GaN power ICs (GaNFast brand) and SiC MOSFETs and diodes (GeneSiC brand), distributed through a concentrated group of key distribution partners that was further reduced under the Navitas 2.0 restructuring. The company targets four priority markets — AI data centers, energy and grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification — explicitly excluding electric vehicles and low-voltage SiC from its addressed market. Manufacturing is fully contracted: TSMC and GlobalFoundries supply GaN wafers, X-Fab supplies SiC wafers, and assembly and packaging occur at subcontractors primarily in Asia. The 10-K states that the company relies on single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services and that a limited number of customers account for a significant portion of revenue. Named GaN competitors include Infineon Technologies AG, Power Integrations, Texas Instruments, Innoscience, Renesas, and EPC; named SiC competitors include Infineon, Wolfspeed, ON Semiconductor, ROHM, Qorvo, and STMicroelectronics. Silicon-based solutions from Infineon, STMicroelectronics, and ON Semiconductor remain lower-cost incumbent alternatives.

Show full overview

In March 2026, Navitas disclosed via Form 8-K that CFO Todd Glickman was departing, with Tonya Stevens — formerly at Lattice Semiconductor — succeeding him as CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026. This CFO transition coincided with the Navitas 2.0 reorganization, during which the 10-K warns that mobile and consumer revenue may decline faster than high-power market revenue ramps. Products for AI data centers require larger die sizes, advanced process nodes, and longer qualification cycles than consumer devices — raising up-front R&D investments and extending payback timelines.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Navitas Semiconductor Corporati's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027109d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-75.9
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA-24.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-52.6%
Rev Growth-27.3%
Beta4.13
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV97%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services, and on a limited number of suppliers of other materials, leaving us vulnerable to supply chain disruption'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of customers account for a significant portion of our current and anticipated revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Todd Glickman departing; Tonya Stevens (formerly Lattice Semiconductor, Nasdaq: LSCC) appointed CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    Compensatory arrangement: Company agreed March 13, 2026 to accelerate vesting of 211,528 RSUs for departing CFO Todd Glickman in recognition of his service through the March 30, 2026 transition date.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 8 to 10 members; Gregory M. Fischer appointed Class III director effective April 7, 2026, also joining Compensation and Executive Steering Committees. No reason for expansion cited beyond standard governance.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Davin D. Lee appointed Class III director effective April 30, 2026, also joining Compensation and Governance and Sustainability Committees. Routine board appointment; no successor named for any vacancy.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -27.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -27%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Conservative debt levels

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
3.0
Bollinger
4.5
Support Resistance
5.8
Extreme gap up (9.4%) - may pull back
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 109d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
51 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.91Resistance $11.29

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+34.1%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (109d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.33: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.68. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVTS stock price target?

Analyst target: $12.52 (+34.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.68. Stop-loss: $8.68.

What are the risks of investing in NVTS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single sources of supply for certain front-end manufacturing services; Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is NVTS overvalued or undervalued?

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -75.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVTS?

13 analysts rate NVTS, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $14.

What does Navitas Semiconductor Corporati do?Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy...

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN and SiC power semiconductors under a fabless model, targeting AI data centers, energy infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification. By December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300 million GaN devices and nearly 30 million SiC devices; manufacturing is contracted to TSMC, GlobalFoundries, and X-Fab.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.) · MRAM (Everspin Technologies, Inc.) · LSCC (Lattice Semiconductor Corporati)
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