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Navitas Semiconductor Corporati (NVTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power ICs and high-voltage SiC devices for AI data centers, grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification using a fabless model. The company pivoted to high-power markets ('Navitas 2.0') in late 2025, de-emphasizing... Read more

$19.84+20.1% A.UpsideScore 3.0/10#45 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield0.96%
Stop $18.07Target $23.34(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$13.59-31.5%8 analysts
$23.34our TP
$19.84price
$13.59mean
$7
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC (GaN wafer fabrication)
Target reached (-39.2% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-135.4
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA-67.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-35.2%
Rev Growth-38.7%
Beta3.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV137%elevated
Max Pain$1-95.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTSMC (GaN wafer fabrication)
    10-K Item 1: 'For GaN products, our existing wafer fabrication partner is TSMC located in Taiwan'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02HIGH
    Todd Glickman, SVP CFO and Treasurer, departure announced via mutual decision to pursue new opportunities. No successor named at time of filing; Company will search for new CFO.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Tonya Stevens, age 54, appointed CFO and Treasurer effective March 30, 2026; previously Corporate VP and CAO at Lattice Semiconductor (also served as Interim CFO Oct 2024–Feb 2025). Clean handoff; Glickman remaining through Transition Date.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    Company agreed to accelerate vesting of 211,528 RSUs for departing CFO Todd Glickman (originally vesting September 20, 2026) in recognition of service through Transition Date of March 30, 2026. Compensatory arrangement only.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Gregory M. Fischer appointed Class III director effective immediately; also appointed to Compensation Committee and Executive Steering Committee. Routine board appointment; no arrangement or related-party transaction cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Davin D. Lee appointed Class III director effective April 30, 2026; also appointed to Compensation Committee and Governance and Sustainability Committee. Routine board appointment; no arrangement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -38.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -39%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
8.7
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
5.0

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
1.4
Llm Sentiment
4.7
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.14Resistance $23.82

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+17.6%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-39.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.84: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $18.07. Score 3.0/10, high confidence.

What is the NVTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.34 (+20.1% upside). Prior stop was $18.07. Stop-loss: $18.07.

What are the risks of investing in NVTS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC (GaN wafer fabrication); Target reached (-39.2% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is NVTS overvalued or undervalued?

Navitas Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -135.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVTS?

15 analysts cover NVTS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Navitas Semiconductor Corporati do?Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power ICs and high-voltage SiC devices for AI data centers, grid infrastructure,...

Navitas Semiconductor designs GaN power ICs and high-voltage SiC devices for AI data centers, grid infrastructure, performance computing, and industrial electrification using a fabless model. The company pivoted to high-power markets ('Navitas 2.0') in late 2025, de-emphasizing mobile/consumer. As of December 31, 2025, the company had shipped over 300M GaN devices and nearly 30M SiC devices; TSMC is the primary GaN wafer foundry.

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