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NTSKNetskope, Inc.Sell5.8·$11.25+0.72%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Netskope is a high-growth security software company with 28% revenue growth, a Rule of 40 score of 63 in the elite range, and free cash flow positive at 35% margin despite GAAP losses, but faces momentum gate failure, operating margin compression of -53.9%, and high leverage creating a value-trap risk profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Rule Of 40 Fcf PositiveStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth 28pctStable
  • Momentum Failure Value Trap SignalsImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Netskope, Inc. (NTSK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Netskope provides a cloud-native security and networking platform (Netskope One) for enterprises, with zero-trust access, DLP, and secure web gateway via its NewEdge network of 125+ edge data centers in 80 regions. The company generated $709.0 million in revenue for fiscal 2026... Read more

$11.25+25.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#50 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.67%
Stop $10.72Target $14.50(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$16.11+43.2%18 analysts
$14.50our TP
$11.25price
$16.11mean
$28

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Netskope, Inc.

About Netskope, Inc.

Netskope's Netskope One platform delivered $709.0 million in revenue for fiscal 2026 ended January 31, 2026, growing from $538.3 million in fiscal 2025 and $406.9 million in fiscal 2024, while the company posted a net loss of $679.4 million and carries an accumulated deficit of $2.6 billion. The NewEdge private cloud network spans more than 125 full-compute edge data centers across 80 regions with over 10,000 network adjacencies to over 700 autonomous systems. Netskope received FedRAMP High Authorization, opening access to U.S. federal agency accounts as a new customer segment.

Netskope earns revenue from subscription contracts, with a substantial majority running one to three years. The top five channel partners and their affiliates represented 35% of fiscal 2026 revenue and 33% of fiscal 2025 revenue, with distribution through VARs, distributors, system integrators, MSPs, and global telecommunications providers. The Netskope One platform integrates cloud inline security, CASB, DLP, threat protection, secure web gateway, ZTNA, and additional products into a single architecture that runs on the NewEdge private cloud, allowing customers to replace on-premises hardware appliances. The 10-K notes the company is actively expanding its Americas salesforce to increase U.S. market share, and that sales cycles are long and unpredictable, requiring substantial pre-sales investment. The filing positions Netskope against legacy appliance-based and first-generation cloud security vendors that cannot inspect modern application-layer traffic at scale.

Show full overview

Netskope's top five channel partners collectively accounted for 35% of fiscal 2026 revenue, up from 33% in fiscal 2025, consistent with consolidation in the company's distribution network. The 10-K explicitly notes that mergers among channel partners may increase reliance on individual distributors, and that partner arrangements are generally non-exclusive—meaning top-tier resellers may shift emphasis to competing platforms with limited notice and no financial penalty. If a top-tier partner were to deemphasize Netskope One, revenue sourced through that channel could decline without an immediate contractual remedy available to the company.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Netskope, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)810.3
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA-6.3
Profit Mgn-95.2%
ROE
Rev Growth27.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV98%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop five partners35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales through our top five partners and their affiliates, in aggregate, represented 35% of our revenue for fiscal 2026 and 33% of our revenue for fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO Andrew Del Matto announced as retiring, effective upon the start of a successor. Company to commence search for new CFO; Del Matto to remain through search and transition period. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
7.4
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5INSIDER 0.62%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.70Resistance $15.02

Price Targets

$11
$15
A.Upside+25.8%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.62%=heavy
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTSK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.72. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTSK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.50 (+25.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.72. Stop-loss: $10.72.

What are the risks of investing in NTSK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is NTSK overvalued or undervalued?

Netskope, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 810.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTSK?

24 analysts cover NTSK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Netskope, Inc. do?Netskope provides a cloud-native security and networking platform (Netskope One) for enterprises, with zero-trust...

Netskope provides a cloud-native security and networking platform (Netskope One) for enterprises, with zero-trust access, DLP, and secure web gateway via its NewEdge network of 125+ edge data centers in 80 regions. The company generated $709.0 million in revenue for fiscal 2026 on subscriptions of one to three years. Top five channel partners and affiliates represented 35% of fiscal 2026 revenue.

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