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MIDDThe Middleby CorporationHold6.0·$175.12+1.96%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Middleby Corporation combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging about 10% above consensus, a PEG ratio of 0.31 indicating valuation well below the growth rate, and a confirmed technical breakout — but with only 3.9% headroom to the near-term target and elevated put positioning, the setup is better suited to maintaining an existing position than initiating a new one.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Streak QualityStable
  • Valuation Growth Peg DiscountStable
  • Technical Breakout AccumulationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and... Read more

$175.12-1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.83%
Stop $164.70Target $172.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$196.33+12.1%9 analysts
$172.91our TP
$175.12price
$196.33mean
$206

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.1
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn-12.7%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV46%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Adoption of Executive Severance Plan On May 20, 2026, the Compensation Committee ("Compensation Committee") of the Board of Directors of the Middleby Corporation (the "Company") adopted The Middleby Corporation Executive Severance Plan (the "ESP"), under which the Company's named executive office...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $151.80Resistance $176.44

Price Targets

$165
$173
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIDD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $175.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $172.91 (-1.3%), stop $164.70 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIDD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.91 (-1.3% upside). Target $172.91 (-1.3%), stop $164.70 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $164.70.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Is MIDD overvalued or undervalued?

The Middleby Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MIDD?

16 analysts cover MIDD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $196.

What does The Middleby Corporation do?The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary...

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and service of a broad line of (i) foodservice equipment, integrated IoT solutions and universal controllers used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens and (ii) food preparation, cooking, baking, chil...

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