Skip to main content
MIDDThe Middleby CorporationHold6.0·$112.40-0.04%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Middleby Corporation combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging about 10% above consensus, a PEG ratio of 0.31 indicating valuation well below the growth rate, and a confirmed technical breakout — but with only 3.9% headroom to the near-term target and elevated put positioning, the setup is better suited to maintaining an existing position than initiating a new one.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Streak QualityDeteriorating
  • Valuation Growth Peg DiscountStable
  • Technical Breakout AccumulationImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Stock Analysis

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and... Read more

$112.40+20.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#10 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.88%
Stop $106.40Target $135.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$155.22+38.1%9 analysts
$135.04our TP
$112.40price
$155.22mean
$169

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn-13.9%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV227%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 1-9973 | | 36-3352497 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | ---|---|--- 1400 Toastmaster Drive, Elgin, Illinois | | 60120 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) | | (Zip Code) (847) 741-3300 (Registrant...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Adoption of Executive Severance Plan On May 20, 2026, the Compensation Committee ("Compensation Committee") of the Board of Directors of the Middleby Corporation (the "Company") adopted The Middleby Corporation Executive Severance Plan (the "ESP"), under which the Company's named executive office...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.68Resistance $135.16

Price Targets

$106
$135
A.Upside+20.1%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIDD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $112.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $135.04 (+20.1%), stop $106.40 (−5.6%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIDD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.04 (+20.1% upside). Target $135.04 (+20.1%), stop $106.40 (−5.6%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $106.40.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is MIDD overvalued or undervalued?

The Middleby Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MIDD?

17 analysts cover MIDD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $155.

What does The Middleby Corporation do?The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary...

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and service of a broad line of (i) foodservice equipment, integrated IoT solutions and universal controllers used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens and (ii) food preparation, cooking, baking, chil...

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.)
Home Stocks MIDD

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat128d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et9d ago
GuruFocus79d ago
MarketBeat121d ago
StockStory121d agoEarnings
Moomoo30d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat129d agoAnalyst
TradingKey80d ago
GuruFocus81d ago
MSN115d ago
GuruFocus115d agoRestructuring
Yahoo Finance115d ago
The Globe and Mail115d agoRestructuring
Yahoo Finance31d agoEarnings
MarketBeat31d ago
GuruFocus3d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance127d ago
GuruFocus78d ago
TradingKey78d ago
TradingKey79d ago
Loading more...