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LMRILumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.Sell4.9·$12.43+7.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The shares screen at a forward P/E of 10.5x with analyst consensus implying roughly 84% upside, but a near-78% earnings miss in the only available quarter, no competitive moat, 13% short interest, and a sub-$1 billion market capitalization that restricts institutional access combine to create a speculative profile with substantial unresolved execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Forward Valuation Quality GapStable
  • Analyst Consensus Large Implied UpsideStable
  • Unproven Earnings ExecutionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. (LMRI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.43: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Lumexa Imaging Holdings operates the second-largest U.S. outpatient diagnostic imaging network, with 188 centers across 13 states, including eight health-system joint ventures. Revenue comes from imaging exams billed to commercial and government payors and referred by over... Read more

$12.43+21.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#53 of 64 Medical Devices
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $11.56Target $15.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$17.29+39.1%7 analysts
$15.04our TP
$12.43price
$17.29mean
$9
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.43: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.

About Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.

Lumexa Imaging Holdings, formerly US Radiology Specialists, operates 188 outpatient diagnostic imaging centers across 13 states as of December 31, 2025, making it the second-largest freestanding imaging platform in the country by center count. The company completed its initial public offering in 2025, raising approximately $427 million in net proceeds, and its consolidated revenue grew 7.8% year over year while advanced imaging (MRI, CT and PET) made up 52% of consolidated revenue.

The company earns revenue from MRI, CT, PET, x-ray, ultrasound and mammography exams billed to referring physicians' patients, with 58% of consolidated revenue collected from commercial payors and 29% from government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, and the remainder from self-pay and other payors in 2025. Centers depend on referrals from more than 102,000 independent physicians across over 32,000 practices, none of which are contractually obligated to continue referring patients. Radiologist coverage is largely provided through contracted third-party radiology groups and the company's own teleradiology platform, Connexia, which it began building in 2023 to reduce reliance on outside practices. Lumexa also operates eight joint ventures with health systems including Baylor Scott & White Health, Intermountain Health, and Atrium Health, with ownership stakes ranging from 30% to 50% in exchange for management and professional service fees.

Show full overview

Lumexa's payer mix creates rate-setting exposure distinct from a typical services company: government programs accounted for 29% of consolidated 2025 revenue, and the 10-K notes that commercial payors often set their own reimbursement as a percentage of Medicare rates, so a CMS Physician Fee Schedule cut could pressure pricing across the entire payor base, not just Medicare patients. The October 2025 calendar-year 2026 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule final rule governs the majority of Lumexa's services, and multi-year contracted rates with commercial insurers limit the company's ability to offset adverse rate changes.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advanced imaging (MRI/CT/PET) (52.0%)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA24.6
Profit Mgn-3.7%
ROE
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvanced imaging (MRI/CT/PET)52%
    10-K Item 1: 'advanced imaging accounted for 52% of our consolidated revenue and 63% of our system-wide revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
2.8
Gap
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.4
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.2
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
8.6
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $7.84Resistance $12.65

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+21.0%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LMRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.43: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.56. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LMRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.04 (+21.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.56. Stop-loss: $11.56.

What are the risks of investing in LMRI?

Concentration risk — Product: advanced imaging (MRI/CT/PET) (52.0%); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is LMRI overvalued or undervalued?

Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LMRI?

14 analysts cover LMRI with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. do?Lumexa Imaging Holdings operates the second-largest U.S. outpatient diagnostic imaging network, with 188 centers across...

Lumexa Imaging Holdings operates the second-largest U.S. outpatient diagnostic imaging network, with 188 centers across 13 states, including eight health-system joint ventures. Revenue comes from imaging exams billed to commercial and government payors and referred by over 102,000 physicians; advanced MRI/CT/PET scans made up 52% of 2025 consolidated revenue. The company's scale in high-growth metropolitan markets differentiates it from single-site independent operators.

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