Headline revenue growth of 35% year-over-year and positive price momentum sit alongside quality at the floor of the investable range (1.3 out of 10, Piotroski F-Score 2 out of 9), two consecutive large earnings misses, and a stock that has already exceeded its technical target — the combination of no quality foundation, negative asymmetry, and concentrated counterparty exposure makes this an exit candidate rather than a hold.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
- Consecutive Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- Counterparty Concentration Risk→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Communication Services · Entertainment
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
Liberty Live Holdings holds approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment (69.6 million shares) through equity method accounting, plus QuintEvents, a premium sports and entertainment hospitality business, following its split-off from Liberty Media on December 15, 2025. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S
About Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S
Liberty Live Holdings holds approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment, which distributed 646 million tickets and connected 805 million fans at 55,000 events in 55 countries in 2025. The company completed its separation from Liberty Media Corporation via split-off on December 15, 2025. Live Nation's Concerts segment generated $20.9 billion (83% of Live Nation's total revenue), Ticketing generated $3.1 billion (12%), and Sponsorship & Advertising generated $1.3 billion (5%) in 2025.
Liberty Live's primary economic exposure is its equity method investment in Live Nation; the company does not receive distributions from Live Nation other than as an ordinary stockholder and recognizes its proportionate share of Live Nation's earnings or losses. Live Nation earns Concerts revenue primarily from ticket sales at 460 owned or operated venues and 131 festivals globally, paying artists under fixed guarantee and profit-share formulas, and generates higher-margin venue revenue from concessions, premium seating, and parking. The Ticketing segment operates as an agency retaining a portion of service charges on 346 million fee-paying tickets in 2025 under multi-year exclusive agreements with arenas, stadiums, and promoters. Sponsors including Citibank, Mastercard, O2, Cisco, Red Bull, and Anheuser Busch provided sponsorship revenue tied to Live Nation's physical and digital assets. Liberty Live also owns QuintEvents and is subject to a services agreement under which Liberty Media provides management, legal, and administrative functions for approximately $9.0 million annually.
Show full overview
The U.S. Department of Justice and state attorneys general have filed antitrust suit against Live Nation alleging violations of federal and state competition law; the FTC and state attorneys general have separately sued Live Nation over alleged deceptive and illegal ticketing practices. An unfavorable outcome in either proceeding may weigh on Live Nation's operations and, in turn, on Liberty Live's equity method earnings. John C. Malone beneficially owned shares representing in excess of 50.0% of Liberty Live Group's aggregate voting power as of January 31, 2026, a position that could deter third-party acquisition activity.
See also: Communication Services · Entertainment
From Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S
Latest news
- NEWS ValueAct Capital Decreases Stake In Amazon To 2,884,600 Shares; BlackRock To 546,100 Shares; The Walt Disney Company To — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Berkshire Hathaway Decreases Stake In Bank of America To 513,624,165 Shares; Constellation Brands To 632,890 Shares; DaV — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T14:32:19Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartyLive Nation10-K Item 1A: 'Our equity method investment in Live Nation may have a material impact on our net earnings (loss)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $99.72. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.79 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $99.72. Stop-loss: $99.72.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation; Target reached (-8.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -37.8). TrendMatrix value score: 0.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover LLYVK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.
What does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S do?Liberty Live Holdings holds approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment (69.6 million shares) through equity method...
Liberty Live Holdings holds approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment (69.6 million shares) through equity method accounting, plus QuintEvents, a premium sports and entertainment hospitality business, following its split-off from Liberty Media on December 15, 2025. The company's financial results are materially influenced by Live Nation, which connected 805 million fans at 55,000 events across 55 countries in 2025.