Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the LLYVK stock price target?

Take-profit $97.75 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $87.83.

Q: What are the risks of investing in LLYVK?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7); Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Q: Is LLYVK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 71.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about LLYVK?

18 analysts cover LLYVK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Liberty Live Holdings is a Bermuda holding company split off from Liberty Media in December 2025, owning approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment and QuintEvents. It derives value primarily through its equity method investment in Live Nation and operating cash flows from... Read more

$92.36+5.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#21 of 27 Entertainment

Stop $87.83Target $97.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1

Analyst target$115.00+24.5%1 analysts

Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $92.36: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)71.7

Mkt Cap$8.4B

EV/EBITDA-373.8

Profit Mgn-22.8%

ROE—

Rev Growth29.0%

Beta1.29

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

IV49%normal

Max Pain$75-18.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHcounterpartyLive Nation
10-K Item 1A: 'Our equity method investment in Live Nation may have a material impact on our net earnings (loss).'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
Renee L. Wilm transitioning from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Live Holdings to Senior Advisor, effective later in 2026. No specific successor named for CLO/CAO roles. No reason cited.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.415%0.51

Quality1.415%0.21

Growth9.915%1.49

Momentum2.610%0.26

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.410%0.34

Technical Setup8.25%0.41

Risk Profile5.65%0.28

Catalyst3.25%0.16

Overall (Σ contributions)4.75

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -22.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Current Ratio

1.3

Piotroski F

3.3

Moat

5.0

No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

7.8

Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

1.1

Surprise Avg

1.9

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 7 days

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

0.0

Forward Pe

1.3

Peg Ratio

10.0

Forward P/E: 71.7xPEG: 0.31

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

0.0

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

8.4

Industry growth leader

GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

37 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $90.55Resistance $102.05

Price Targets

$88

$98

A.Upside+5.8%

A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LLYVK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $92.36: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $87.83. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LLYVK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.75 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $87.83. Stop-loss: $87.83.

What are the risks of investing in LLYVK?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Is LLYVK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 71.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LLYVK?

18 analysts cover LLYVK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S do?Liberty Live Holdings is a Bermuda holding company split off from Liberty Media in December 2025, owning approximately...