A deep valuation discount — forward price-to-earnings of 7.9x, PEG ratio of 0.12, and 35.8% upside to the analyst consensus target — combined with free cash flow running at 153% of net income frame a recovery case, but two misses in the last four quarters and a confirmed price downtrend signal that fundamental pressure has not yet peaked.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Discount→Stable
- Superior Free Cash Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Delivery Risk↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Wait for pullback to $25.79. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.13. Engine's entry $25.79 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $25.79. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.13. Engine's entry $25.79 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-27Recent Developments — LKQ Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS What To Expect From LKQ’s (LKQ) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS LKQ Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS LKQ Maintained by Stephens & Co. -- Price Target Lowered to $36. - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS LKQ (LKQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS LKQ (LKQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript - AOL.com — AOL.com neutral
Generated 2026-07-27T14:57:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $25.79. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.13. Engine's entry $25.79 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $34.37 (+31.5%), stop $24.09 (−8.5%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $34.37 (+31.4% upside). Target $34.37 (+31.5%), stop $24.09 (−8.5%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $24.09.
LKQ Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts cover LKQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.
What does LKQ Corporation do?LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement...
LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance, functionality and appearance of vehicles.