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PHINPHINIA Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$81.68-2.36%
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PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Wait for pullback to $75.80. BUY gates pass at $81.68, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (63.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $75.80 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

PHINIA makes fuel injection systems, fuel delivery modules, and aftermarket parts for combustion and hybrid vehicles across commercial and passenger markets, generating $3.483 billion in 2025 net sales across Fuel Systems ($2.320 billion) and Aftermarket ($1.306 billion)... Read more

$81.68+12.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.13%
IncomeYield1.43%Payout31.09%sustainable
Entry $75.80(50-day MA)Stop $70.49Target $85.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$92.00+12.6%5 analysts
$85.20our TP
$81.68price
$92.00mean
$76
$105

Wait for pullback to $75.80. BUY gates pass at $81.68, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (63.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $75.80 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (63.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.10
Dividend1.43%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$105+28.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerGeneral Motors Company18%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company's worldwide net sales to General Motors Company during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023 were 18%, 17%, and 16%, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the Company's top five customers represented 37% of sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States63%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 37% of the Company's net sales were generated in the United States, and 63% were generated outside the United States'
  • LOWProductgasoline fuel systems for light passenger vehicle applications16%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 16% of the Company's net sales were gasoline fuel systems for light passenger vehicle applications'
  • LOWProductdiesel fuel systems for medium and heavy duty commercial vehicle applications12%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 12% were diesel fuel systems for medium and heavy duty commercial vehicle applications'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.94Resistance $86.94

Price Targets

$70
$76
$85
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R-0.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHIN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $75.80. BUY gates pass at $81.68, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (63.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $75.80 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $85.20 (+4.3%), stop $70.49 (−15.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.20 (+12.4% upside). Target $85.20 (+4.3%), stop $70.49 (−15.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $70.49.

What are the risks of investing in PHIN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (63.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PHIN overvalued or undervalued?

PHINIA Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PHIN?

10 analysts cover PHIN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $92.

What does PHINIA Inc. do?PHINIA makes fuel injection systems, fuel delivery modules, and aftermarket parts for combustion and hybrid vehicles...

PHINIA makes fuel injection systems, fuel delivery modules, and aftermarket parts for combustion and hybrid vehicles across commercial and passenger markets, generating $3.483 billion in 2025 net sales across Fuel Systems ($2.320 billion) and Aftermarket ($1.306 billion) segments. GM represented 18% of worldwide net sales in 2025; the top five customers combined were 37%. The company has 12,500 employees globally.

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