Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.42: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality.
Aurora Innovation develops the Aurora Driver, a self-driving platform deployed for commercial trucking driverless operations, with plans to expand to passenger mobility and goods delivery. It began generating initial revenue in Q2 2025 but incurred net losses of $816M that year;... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.42: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSuppliersingle or limited source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on others for the supply of vehicles, and are also dependent on our suppliers, some of which are single or limited source suppliers'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-27Item 5.02LOWDirector Claire D'Oyly-Hughes Johnson resigned from Aurora Innovation's Board effective February 27, 2026. No disagreement with the Company cited. David Wehner appointed as replacement director effective February 27, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Volatile — 5.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.42: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $5.00. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.21 (+71.3% upside). Prior stop was $5.00. Stop-loss: $5.00.
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).
Aurora Innovation, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover AUR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Aurora Innovation, Inc. do?Aurora Innovation develops the Aurora Driver, a self-driving platform deployed for commercial trucking driverless...
Aurora Innovation develops the Aurora Driver, a self-driving platform deployed for commercial trucking driverless operations, with plans to expand to passenger mobility and goods delivery. It began generating initial revenue in Q2 2025 but incurred net losses of $816M that year; it targets a Driver as a Service model where fleet partners own and operate Aurora Driver-powered vehicles. Key partners include PACCAR, Volvo, Toyota, and Uber.