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LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitAI GATE: FLAGGED — 3 risks, 1 concernModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $30.92. At $31.78 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.92 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance,... Read more

$31.78+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 26 Auto Parts
Entry $30.92(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $29.38Target $34.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$40.19+26.5%8 analysts
$34.96our TP
$31.78price
$40.19mean
$45

Wait for pullback to $30.92. At $31.78 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.92 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.3
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.90
Dividend3.91%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C805.29bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$23-29.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    LKQ CORPORATION | By: | /s/ Matthew J. McKay | Matthew J. McKay | Senior Vice President, General Coun [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.13Resistance $32.52

Price Targets

$29
$31
$35
A.Upside+10.0%
A.R:R0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LKQ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.92. At $31.78 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.92 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $34.96 (+10.0%), stop $29.38 (−8.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LKQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.96 (+12.8% upside). Target $34.96 (+10.0%), stop $29.38 (−8.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $29.38.

Is LKQ overvalued or undervalued?

LKQ Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.3 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LKQ?

15 analysts cover LKQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does LKQ Corporation do?LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement...

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance, functionality and appearance of vehicles.

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