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LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.Sell5.2·$418.47-4.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Littelfuse has executed cleanly across four consecutive quarters with an average 12.6% positive earnings surprise and a perfect financial-health score, but the stock now trades above its analyst consensus target at a demanding 27.6x forward earnings with a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.41-to-1 in an unfavorable direction — making it difficult to justify adding exposure at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Valuation Caps UpsideStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Unfavorable Reward To Risk GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $418.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial segments, serving customers in more than 20 countries with approximately 17,000 employees. The company generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025... Read more

$418.47+16.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#16 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.09%
IncomeYield0.72%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout60.00%sustainable
Stop $399.28Target $488.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$486.25+16.2%4 analysts
$488.41our TP
$418.47price
$486.25mean
$390
$535

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $418.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Littelfuse, Inc.

About Littelfuse, Inc.

Littelfuse generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025 revenue split across three segments—Electronics ($1,345.5 million, 56%), Transportation ($676.4 million, 28%), and Industrial ($364.4 million, 15%)—with approximately 17,000 employees across more than 20 countries. The company directed $106.9 million to R&D in fiscal 2025, and about 65% of net sales went to customers outside the U.S., including 24% to China.

Littelfuse designs and manufactures passive electronics protection components—fuses, ESD suppressors, varistors, silicon carbide MOSFETs, and IGBTs—and sells them through global distributors including Arrow Electronics, Digi-Key, and Mouser, as well as direct to OEMs. The Electronics segment, the largest at 56% of fiscal 2025 revenue, serves data centers, aerospace and defense, industrial controls, and EV applications. Transportation sells circuit protection and sensing products to global automotive OEMs primarily through Tier One suppliers and wire harness manufacturers. Industrial serves grid and utility infrastructure, HVAC, and energy storage through electrical distribution and direct OEM sales. In December 2025, the company completed the acquisition of Basler Electric for $350.3 million net of cash, adding high-voltage excitation and protection expertise to the Industrial segment. Principal raw materials—copper, zinc, silver, and silicon—are sourced from multiple suppliers with prequalified alternates for critical inputs.

Show full overview

China generated about 24% of Littelfuse's net sales in fiscal 2025, and the 10-K notes that reciprocal tariffs may impact the company's business in China. U.S.-China trade tensions have already prompted retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, and continued escalation could require price increases that reduce customer demand, or could weigh on gross margins if increases cannot be passed through. Approximately 65% of net sales originated outside the U.S., further exposing reported results to foreign exchange movements across multiple currencies.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Littelfuse, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta1.49
Dividend0.72%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.54bearish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicChina24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers outside the U.S. constituted approximately 65% of the Company's net sales in fiscal 2025, including approximately 24% to China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    April 22, 2026: Board approved updated RSU and PSU award agreement forms for named executive officers under the Long-Term Incentive Plan and LF/IXYS Plan, amending terms so death or disability satisfies the retirement condition for vesting. No officer departures or appointments disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
6.2
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $411.63Resistance $498.38

Price Targets

$399
$488
A.Upside+16.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $418.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $399.28. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LFUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $488.41 (+16.7% upside). Prior stop was $399.28. Stop-loss: $399.28.

What are the risks of investing in LFUS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is LFUS overvalued or undervalued?

Littelfuse, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LFUS?

10 analysts cover LFUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $486.

What does Littelfuse, Inc. do?Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and...

Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial segments, serving customers in more than 20 countries with approximately 17,000 employees. The company generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025 revenue through direct sales and distribution to automotive OEMs, data center operators, and industrial customers worldwide.

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