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CLSCelestica, Inc.Hold6.2·$382.83-5.11%
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Celestica, Inc. (CLS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $382.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: CCS segment (74.0%).

Celestica provides electronics manufacturing and hardware platform design through two segments: CCS (74% of 2025 revenue, $9.19 billion), focused on data center networking and servers for hyperscalers, and ATS (26%), covering aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. The... Read more

$382.83+4.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.39%
Stop $355.27Target $399.70(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$444.11+16.0%18 analysts
$399.70our TP
$382.83price
$444.11mean
$360
$550

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $382.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: CCS segment (74.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Celestica, Inc.

About Celestica, Inc.

Celestica's top 10 customers accounted for 79% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, up from 73% in 2024 and 64% in 2023, while three CCS customers individually exceeded 10% of consolidated revenue at 32%, 14%, and 12%. CCS segment revenue reached $9.19 billion in 2025, a 42% increase over 2024, driven by hyperscaler data-center build-outs. Hardware Platform Solutions revenue grew 81% year-over-year, reaching 41% of total revenue.

Celestica earns revenue across two segments with distinct margin profiles. The CCS segment — serving cloud providers, hyperscalers, digital-native companies, and hardware OEMs — manufactures networking switches, optical systems, servers, and data-center racks, with programs characterized by larger volumes and higher margins than ATS. The company's HPS business within CCS commands a premium margin because Celestica participates in product design as an ODM, rather than solely manufacturing to customer specifications. The ATS segment covers Aerospace and Defense, Industrial, HealthTech, and Capital Equipment markets. Supply chain is global, with the majority of electronic components originating from Asian countries. Capital expenditures in 2026 are anticipated at approximately $1 billion — about 6% of currently anticipated revenue — a significant escalation above the historical 1.5% to 2.0% range, to support hyperscaler capacity expansion.

Show full overview

Customer concentration is Celestica's most explicitly quantified risk. The three largest CCS customers — at 32%, 14%, and 12% of consolidated revenue in 2025 — are hyperscalers whose AI investment cycles, access to specialized components such as accelerators, and data-center power procurement decisions directly govern program volumes. The 10-K notes these customers may slow, scale down, or cancel programs if regulatory constraints, power shortages, or shifts in AI investment strategy materialize, and there is no assurance the company can replace lost business quickly.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Celestica, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (79.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: CCS segment (74.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.0
P/E (Fwd)27.0
Mkt Cap$46.4B
EV/EBITDA34.0
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE52.5%
Rev Growth52.8%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.51bearish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$700+82.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 customers79%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 customers represented 79% of total revenue for 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerthree CCS customers (32%, 14%, 12%)32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three customers in our CCS segment individually represented 10% or more of total revenue (32%, 14% and 12%)'
  • HIGHProductCCS segment74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'CCS segment revenue represented 74% of our consolidated revenue in 2025'
  • MEDIUMProductHPS revenue41%
    10-K Item 1: 'HPS revenue accounted for 41% of our total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Board Chair Michael Wilson retiring effective immediately prior to 2026 AGM per director retirement policy; no disagreement cited. CEO Robert Mionis appointed Chair; Laurette Koellner named Lead Independent Director. David Reeder appointed to Board effective May 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $324.50Resistance $474.02

Price Targets

$355
$400
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $382.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: CCS segment (74.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $399.70 (+4.4%), stop $355.27 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $399.70 (+4.6% upside). Target $399.70 (+4.4%), stop $355.27 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $355.27.

What are the risks of investing in CLS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: CCS segment (74.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

Is CLS overvalued or undervalued?

Celestica, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.0 (forward 27.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CLS?

12 analysts cover CLS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $444.

What does Celestica, Inc. do?Celestica provides electronics manufacturing and hardware platform design through two segments: CCS (74% of 2025...

Celestica provides electronics manufacturing and hardware platform design through two segments: CCS (74% of 2025 revenue, $9.19 billion), focused on data center networking and servers for hyperscalers, and ATS (26%), covering aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. The company operates as both EMS and ODM; its HPS business within CCS grew 81% in 2025 to 41% of total revenue.

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