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Celestica, Inc. (CLS) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $313.38. At $394.53 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $313.38 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: largest CCS customer (32.0%).

Celestica is a contract electronics manufacturer providing design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services through its CCS segment (AI/cloud data center infrastructure for hyperscalers) and ATS segment (aerospace, defense, industrial, and health technology). CCS... Read more

$394.53+22.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 24 Electronic Components
Entry $313.38(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $291.44Target $385.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1Setup A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$427.90+8.5%17 analysts
$385.11our TP
$394.53price
$427.90mean
$379
$500

Wait for pullback to $313.38. At $394.53 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $313.38 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: largest CCS customer (32.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (79.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: largest CCS customer (32.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.6
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$43.3B
EV/EBITDA31.8
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE52.5%
Rev Growth52.8%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV100%elevated
Max Pain$145-63.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-10 customers79%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In the aggregate, our top 10 customers represented 79% of total revenue for 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerlargest CCS customer32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, three customers in our CCS segment individually represented 10% or more of total revenue (32%, 14% and 12%).'
  • HIGHProductCCS segment74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'CCS segment revenue represented 74% of our consolidated revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Board Chair Michael Wilson retiring at 2026 AGM per director retirement policy; no disagreement. Robert Mionis (President/CEO) appointed Chair; Laurette Koellner appointed Lead Independent Director. David Reeder added eff. May 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $271.50Resistance $423.25

Price Targets

$291
$313
$385
A.Upside-2.4%
A.R:R0.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $313.38. At $394.53 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $313.38 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: largest CCS customer (32.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $385.11 (-2.4%), stop $291.44 (−35.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $385.11 (+22.9% upside). Target $385.11 (-2.4%), stop $291.44 (−35.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $291.44.

What are the risks of investing in CLS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (79.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: largest CCS customer (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CLS overvalued or undervalued?

Celestica, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.6 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CLS?

17 analysts cover CLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $428.

What does Celestica, Inc. do?Celestica is a contract electronics manufacturer providing design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain...

Celestica is a contract electronics manufacturer providing design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services through its CCS segment (AI/cloud data center infrastructure for hyperscalers) and ATS segment (aerospace, defense, industrial, and health technology). CCS segment revenue grew 42% to 9.19 billion in 2025, representing 74% of consolidated revenue.

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