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LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.Hold5.9·$404.86-2.48%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Littelfuse has executed cleanly across four consecutive quarters with an average 12.6% positive earnings surprise and a perfect financial-health score, but the stock now trades above its analyst consensus target at a demanding 27.6x forward earnings with a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.41-to-1 in an unfavorable direction — making it difficult to justify adding exposure at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Valuation Caps UpsideDeteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Unfavorable Reward To Risk GeometryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $404.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial segments, serving customers in more than 20 countries with approximately 17,000 employees. The company generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025... Read more

$404.86+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#12 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.20%
IncomeYield0.72%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout60.00%sustainable
Entry $384.62(5% below current)Stop $368.84Target $410.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$482.50+19.2%4 analysts
$410.12our TP
$404.86price
$482.50mean
$390
$520

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $404.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $404.86 has reached target $410.12. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Littelfuse, Inc.

About Littelfuse, Inc.

Littelfuse generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025 revenue split across three segments—Electronics ($1,345.5 million, 56%), Transportation ($676.4 million, 28%), and Industrial ($364.4 million, 15%)—with approximately 17,000 employees across more than 20 countries. The company directed $106.9 million to R&D in fiscal 2025, and about 65% of net sales went to customers outside the U.S., including 24% to China.

Littelfuse designs and manufactures passive electronics protection components—fuses, ESD suppressors, varistors, silicon carbide MOSFETs, and IGBTs—and sells them through global distributors including Arrow Electronics, Digi-Key, and Mouser, as well as direct to OEMs. The Electronics segment, the largest at 56% of fiscal 2025 revenue, serves data centers, aerospace and defense, industrial controls, and EV applications. Transportation sells circuit protection and sensing products to global automotive OEMs primarily through Tier One suppliers and wire harness manufacturers. Industrial serves grid and utility infrastructure, HVAC, and energy storage through electrical distribution and direct OEM sales. In December 2025, the company completed the acquisition of Basler Electric for $350.3 million net of cash, adding high-voltage excitation and protection expertise to the Industrial segment. Principal raw materials—copper, zinc, silver, and silicon—are sourced from multiple suppliers with prequalified alternates for critical inputs.

Show full overview

China generated about 24% of Littelfuse's net sales in fiscal 2025, and the 10-K notes that reciprocal tariffs may impact the company's business in China. U.S.-China trade tensions have already prompted retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, and continued escalation could require price increases that reduce customer demand, or could weigh on gross margins if increases cannot be passed through. Approximately 65% of net sales originated outside the U.S., further exposing reported results to foreign exchange movements across multiple currencies.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Littelfuse, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.4
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA19.7
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta1.49
Dividend0.72%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.82bearish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicChina24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers outside the U.S. constituted approximately 65% of the Company's net sales in fiscal 2025, including approximately 24% to China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    April 22, 2026: Board approved updated RSU and PSU award agreement forms for named executive officers under the Long-Term Incentive Plan and LF/IXYS Plan, amending terms so death or disability satisfies the retirement condition for vesting. No officer departures or appointments disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $380.25Resistance $473.63

Price Targets

$369
$385
$410
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFUS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $404.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $404.86 has reached target $410.12. No upside to wait for. Target $410.12 (+1.3%), stop $368.84 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LFUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $410.12 (+1.3% upside). Target $410.12 (+1.3%), stop $368.84 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $368.84.

What are the risks of investing in LFUS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LFUS overvalued or undervalued?

Littelfuse, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LFUS?

10 analysts cover LFUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $483.

What does Littelfuse, Inc. do?Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and...

Littelfuse manufactures passive electronics components and power semiconductors across Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial segments, serving customers in more than 20 countries with approximately 17,000 employees. The company generated $2,386.3 million in fiscal 2025 revenue through direct sales and distribution to automotive OEMs, data center operators, and industrial customers worldwide.

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