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Fabrinet (FN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $677.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive sensors, and medical devices, primarily from ~3.3M sq ft of facilities in Thailand. Revenue of $3.42B in fiscal 2025... Read more

$677.75+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.32%
Stop $630.31Target $733.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$749.11+10.5%9 analysts
$733.91our TP
$677.75price
$749.11mean
$635
$850

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $677.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Fabrinet

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.3
P/E (Fwd)40.6
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA50.3
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth39.3%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $605.05Resistance $748.89

Price Targets

$630
$734
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $677.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $630.31. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $733.91 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $630.31. Stop-loss: $630.31.

What are the risks of investing in FN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is FN overvalued or undervalued?

Fabrinet trades at a P/E of 60.3 (forward 40.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FN?

19 analysts cover FN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $749.

What does Fabrinet do?Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication...

Fabrinet provides precision optical packaging and electro-mechanical manufacturing for OEMs of optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive sensors, and medical devices, primarily from ~3.3M sq ft of facilities in Thailand. Revenue of $3.42B in fiscal 2025 grew 18.6% year-over-year, with 76.6% derived from optical communications customers.

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