Fabrinet (FN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FN stock price target?

Take-profit $720.09 (+11.9% upside). Target $720.09 (+9.8%), stop $598.42 (−9.6%), A.R:R -0.5:1.

Q: Is FN overvalued or undervalued?

Fabrinet trades at a P/E of 61.8 (forward 38.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about FN?

19 analysts cover FN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $680.

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $656.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

$656.00+11.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 24 Electronic Components

Stop $598.42Target $720.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1

Analyst target$680.00+3.7%9 analysts

$720.09our TP

$656.00price

$680.00mean

$452

$850

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $656.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Strong growth profile

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)61.8

P/E (Fwd)38.5

Mkt Cap$23.1B

EV/EBITDA50.8

Profit Mgn9.7%

ROE18.7%

Rev Growth35.9%

Beta1.03

DividendNone

Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish

IV120%elevated

Max Pain$440-32.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMCustomersmall number of customers
10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales depend on a small number of customers. A reduction in orders from any of these customers...could harm our business, financial condition and operating results.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.215%0.63

Quality4.715%0.70

Growth9.115%1.36

Momentum2.810%0.28

Sentiment6.510%0.65

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank6.410%0.64

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile5.05%0.25

Catalyst6.35%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.60

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Obv

1.0

Volume

1.6

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

55 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $502.01Resistance $734.79

Price Targets

$598

$720

A.Upside+9.8%

A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $656.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $720.09 (+9.8%), stop $598.42 (−9.6%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $720.09 (+11.9% upside). Target $720.09 (+9.8%), stop $598.42 (−9.6%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $598.42.

What are the risks of investing in FN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is FN overvalued or undervalued?

Fabrinet trades at a P/E of 61.8 (forward 38.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FN?

19 analysts cover FN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $680.

What does Fabrinet do?Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing...

Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services to OEMs across optical communications (76.6% of FY2025 revenue), industrial lasers, automotive, and medical devices. Revenue grew to $3.42B in fiscal 2025, primarily from Thailand-based manufacturing; in many cases Fabrinet is the sole outsourced manufacturing partner for its customers.