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TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $196.07 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments, sold to ~130 countries primarily via direct sales (~75%). No single customer was material; 41% of net sales went... Read more

$196.07+21.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.97%
IncomeYield1.45%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout29.01%sustainable
Stop $187.94Target $238.26(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$264.74+35.0%19 analysts
$238.26our TP
$196.07price
$264.74mean
$365

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $196.07 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.8Qual7.0Grw6.1Mom2.3Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer4.5Tech7.7Risk6.05.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — TE Connectivity plc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$58.5B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn15.5%
ROE22.7%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta1.18
Dividend1.45%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-17Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Existing $1.5B five-year unsecured revolving credit facility terminated and replaced by new $3.0B Five-Year Senior Credit Agreement entered February 13, 2026 with Bank of America as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $193.75Resistance $223.49

Price Targets

$188
$238
A.Upside+21.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $196.07 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $187.94. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $238.26 (+21.5% upside). Prior stop was $187.94. Stop-loss: $187.94.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEL?

26 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $265.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net...

TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments, sold to ~130 countries primarily via direct sales (~75%). No single customer was material; 41% of net sales went to automotive customers and 25% to customers in China in fiscal 2025.

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