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TELTE Connectivity plcHold6.4·$208.65-0.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TE Connectivity earns a wide economic moat designation, holds the maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters, and trades at an attractive price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.99 — though the stock is below its 200-day moving average and current upside to the analyst target is limited to approximately 9.7%.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Score And BeatsStable
  • Positive Analyst Sentiment With UpsideDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical).... Read more

$208.65+6.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.87%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout28.50%sustainable
Stop $196.77Target $222.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$246.79+18.3%19 analysts
$222.11our TP
$208.65price
$246.79mean
$306

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.5%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$60.4B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE23.3%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $198.87Resistance $221.33

Price Targets

$197
$222
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $208.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $222.11 (+6.5%), stop $196.77 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $222.11 (+6.5% upside). Target $222.11 (+6.5%), stop $196.77 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $196.77.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEL?

25 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $247.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation...

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical). The company sells into approximately 130 countries, employs approximately 93,000 people, and generates about 75% of net sales through direct channels.

Related stocks: CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · APH (Amphenol Corporation) · SANM (Sanmina Corporation) · FN (Fabrinet) · FLEX (Flex Ltd.)
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