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TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $204.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

TE Connectivity is a global industrial technology company providing connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales, 75% automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments. It serves approximately 00B combined markets globally.... Read more

$204.00+16.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 24 Electronic Components
Stop $195.83Target $238.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$264.47+29.6%19 analysts
$238.03our TP
$204.00price
$264.47mean
$360

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $204.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst Cluster(4) detected in news
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$59.9B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn15.5%
ROE22.7%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta1.26
Dividend1.42%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.76bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$115-43.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-17Item 1.02MEDIUM
    TE Connectivity terminated its existing .5B five-year revolving credit facility upon entering a new B Five-Year Senior Credit Agreement with Bank of America as administrative agent on February 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $201.89Resistance $252.56

Price Targets

$196
$238
A.Upside+16.7%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $204.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $238.03 (+16.7%), stop $195.83 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $238.03 (+16.0% upside). Target $238.03 (+16.7%), stop $195.83 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $195.83.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Negative momentum.

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEL?

26 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $264.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity is a global industrial technology company providing connectivity and sensor solutions across...

TE Connectivity is a global industrial technology company providing connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales, 75% automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments. It serves approximately 00B combined markets globally. Approximately 60% of fiscal 2025 net sales were invoiced in non-USD currencies.

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