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LEN-BLennar CorporationSell4.9·$84.38+1.76%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The Class B shares of this residential homebuilder face a hard technical block from a death cross, momentum at the floor of acceptable levels, and no upside remaining to the near-term target — the setup is structurally unfavorable and the quality profile falls short of investment-grade thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investment Grade QualityStable
  • Dividend Payout UnsustainableStable
  • Death Cross Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lennar Corporation (LEN-B) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.38: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we... Read more

$84.38+6.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#11 of 19 Residential Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.40%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 1.62%)Payout31.35%sustainable
Stop $79.56Target $89.92(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.38: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Lennar Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Generated 2026-07-08T23:53:54Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)5.1
Mkt Cap$20.0B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth-5.2%
Beta1.39
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -5.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.1
Roe
2.5
Net Margin
2.5
Roa
2.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
5.1
Earnings quality warning: 67% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.5
Bollinger
3.9
Support Resistance
5.4
GatesMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $78.02Resistance $91.76

Price Targets

$80
$90
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LEN-B.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEN-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.38: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $79.56. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEN-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.92 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $79.56. Stop-loss: $79.56.

What are the risks of investing in LEN-B?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is LEN-B overvalued or undervalued?

Lennar Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEN-B?

26 analysts cover LEN-B with a consensus score of 2.5/5.

What does Lennar Corporation do?We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of...

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we are a sponsor and manager of funds and joint ventures engaged in development and ownership of multifamily rental properties and a sponsor and manager of a fund engaged in ownership of single-family rental properties.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.) · TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
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