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Lennar Corporation (LEN-B) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.53: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we... Read more

$87.53+5.9% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#11 of 16 Residential Construction
Stop $83.02Target $92.71(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.53: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth-13.3%
Beta1.49
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -13.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -13%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
6.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.5
Roe
2.7
Net Margin
2.7
Roa
2.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 193% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $80.05Resistance $94.60

Price Targets

$83
$93
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LEN-B.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEN-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.53: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $83.02. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEN-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.71 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $83.02. Stop-loss: $83.02.

What are the risks of investing in LEN-B?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is LEN-B overvalued or undervalued?

Lennar Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEN-B?

27 analysts cover LEN-B with a consensus score of 2.6/5.

What does Lennar Corporation do?We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of...

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we are a sponsor and manager of funds and joint ventures engaged in development and ownership of multifamily rental properties and a sponsor and manager of a fund engaged in ownership of single-family rental properties.

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