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KVUEKenvue Inc.Hold5.7·$19.63+1.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Three consecutive earnings beats — including a 23% positive surprise in the most recent quarter — and solid technical momentum have carried the stock above its near-term take-profit resistance level, leaving the reward-to-risk ratio negative and the setup more consistent with a hold than a new entry; a flagged dividend sustainability concern adds a tail risk for income-oriented investors.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Take Profit CeilingStable
  • Solid Momentum Flattening SlopeStable
  • Dividend Sustainability RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 77).

Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's) — sold in more than 165 countries. The company generated $15.1 billion... Read more

$19.63-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.88%
IncomeYield4.19%Payout98.51%at-risk
Stop $19.09Target $19.47(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$19.50-0.7%12 analysts
$19.47our TP
$19.63price
$19.50mean
$18
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kenvue Inc.

About Kenvue Inc.

Kenvue generated $15.1 billion in Net sales in FY2025, marketing consumer health products in more than 165 countries through three segments: Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec, Nicorette), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's). The company employed approximately 22,000 people at December 28, 2025, distributed across APAC (30%), EMEA (28%), North America (23%), and LATAM (19%). In-house facilities delivered roughly 60% of sales volume in FY2025.

Kenvue earns revenue selling over-the-counter medicines and personal care products at retail and through digital channels. The Self Care segment competes with Haleon, Procter & Gamble, and Reckitt Benckiser Group; Skin Health and Beauty competes with Beiersdorf, Estée Lauder, L'Oréal, Procter & Gamble, and Unilever; Essential Health competes with Church & Dwight and Colgate-Palmolive. Product development is supported by approximately 1,600 scientists, doctors, pharmacists, and engineers operating through a network of global innovation hubs. Principal raw materials — resins, vegetable oils, pulp, and oleochemicals — are purchased primarily from third-party suppliers; no single supplier provides a significant portion of total material requirements, though certain raw and packaging materials are sourced from single-source or limited suppliers. The company's digital marketing approach incorporates influencer and celebrity partnerships alongside precision targeting.

Show full overview

A pending acquisition by Kimberly-Clark, announced November 2, 2025 and approved by Kenvue shareholders on January 29, 2026, would convert each Kenvue share into 0.14625 K-C shares plus $3.50 cash. The exchange ratio is fixed and does not adjust for K-C stock price fluctuations before closing, exposing Kenvue shareholders to K-C market risk during the interim period. The 10-K notes foreign regulatory approvals remain outstanding as of the filing date, and that failure to consummate the transaction could adversely affect Kenvue's business, financial condition, and stock price.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Kenvue Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$38.1B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE15.7%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.44
Dividend4.19%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV76%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Amit Banati to step down effective May 12, 2026; announced February 12, 2026. Chief Accounting Officer Heather Howlett appointed interim CFO effective May 12, 2026. No permanent replacement named. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
7.4
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.66Resistance $19.87

Price Targets

$19
$19
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KVUE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.47 (-0.8%), stop $19.09 (−2.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KVUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.47 (-1.8% upside). Target $19.47 (-0.8%), stop $19.09 (−2.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $19.09.

What are the risks of investing in KVUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 77).

Is KVUE overvalued or undervalued?

Kenvue Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KVUE?

18 analysts cover KVUE with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Kenvue Inc. do?Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin...

Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's) — sold in more than 165 countries. The company generated $15.1 billion in Net sales in FY2025 with approximately 22,000 employees.

Related stocks: UL (Unilever PLC) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation) · PG (Procter & Gamble Company (The)) · CL (Colgate-Palmolive Company)
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