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PGProcter & Gamble Company (The)Hold5.6·$151.09+0.99%
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Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $151.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Procter & Gamble manufactures and markets branded daily-use consumer products across beauty, grooming, health care, fabric & home care and baby & feminine & family care, sold in roughly 180 countries. The company sells primarily through mass merchandisers, e-commerce, grocery,... Read more

$151.09-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.66%
IncomeYield2.85%(5y avg 2.47%)Payout61.80%
Stop $144.59Target $148.47(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$163.43+8.2%23 analysts
$148.47our TP
$151.09price
$163.43mean
$145
$186

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $151.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Procter & Gamble Company (The)

About Procter & Gamble Company (The)

Procter & Gamble sold branded consumer goods in roughly 180 countries and territories in fiscal 2025, with approximately 109,000 employees as of June 30, 2025 — 28% based in the United States and 49% in manufacturing roles. International operations generate more than 50% of annual net sales. Walmart and its affiliates accounted for approximately 16% of total sales in fiscal 2025, while the top ten retail customers collectively represented 43% of net sales, compared with 42% in 2024 and 40% in 2023.

Procter & Gamble earns revenue by selling branded products through retail channels including mass merchandisers, e-commerce and social commerce platforms, grocery stores, membership club stores, and drug stores, as well as directly to consumers. Almost all raw and packaging materials are purchased from third-party suppliers, some of whom are single-source; petroleum-derived resins, pulp, natural gas, and packaging materials are among the key input commodities subject to price fluctuation, including from new or increased tariffs. The company invests in research and development and consumer insights to introduce new products and improve existing ones, maintaining brands that compete against both global peers and private-label alternatives. Trade promotion and marketing expenditures support branded pricing power, though the 10-K notes that failure to respond to private-label competition or evolving retail trends could negatively affect results.

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Retailer concentration is a recognized risk. The company discloses that no single customer beyond Walmart exceeds 10% of total sales; however, the top-ten customer group has expanded its aggregate share from 40% in 2023 to 43% in fiscal 2025, and the 10-K notes that continued customer consolidation 'could create significant cost and margin pressure.' If a key customer were to reduce inventory levels or reallocate shelf space toward private-label or competing branded products, or if mutually acceptable trade terms could not be reached, the impact on net sales could be material. Single-source suppliers for certain raw and packaging materials add a supply dependency that may compound input-cost pressure during commodity cycles.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Procter & Gamble Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$348.4B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn19.2%
ROE31.1%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.39
Dividend2.85%
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV32%normal
Max Pain$260+72.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
8.2

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.2
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Conservative
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $138.86Resistance $151.50

Price Targets

$145
$148
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $151.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $148.47 (-1.7%), stop $144.59 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.47 (-1.8% upside). Target $148.47 (-1.7%), stop $144.59 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $144.59.

What are the risks of investing in PG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is PG overvalued or undervalued?

Procter & Gamble Company (The) trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PG?

36 analysts cover PG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $163.

What does Procter & Gamble Company (The) do?Procter & Gamble manufactures and markets branded daily-use consumer products across beauty, grooming, health care,...

Procter & Gamble manufactures and markets branded daily-use consumer products across beauty, grooming, health care, fabric & home care and baby & feminine & family care, sold in roughly 180 countries. The company sells primarily through mass merchandisers, e-commerce, grocery, club, drug and direct-to-consumer channels, with Walmart accounting for about 16% of total sales in 2025 and the top ten customers for 43%. Trademark and patent protection on formulations and brands underpin its pricing position against private-label competition.

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