Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T (EL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Wait for pullback to $74.49. At $76.78 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.49 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
Estee Lauder Companies manufactures, markets, and sells prestige skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care through more than 20 luxury brands in approximately 150 countries via department stores, duty-free, specialty retailers, and direct-to-consumer channels. A substantial... Read more
Wait for pullback to $74.49. At $76.78 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.49 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicChina10-K Item 1A: 'Our inability to continue to compete effectively in key countries around the world (e.g., China or the United States) could have a material adverse effect on our business'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-01Item 2.05MEDIUMEstee Lauder filed Amendment No. 5 updating its PRGP restructuring program. The expanded program includes reorganization, process simplification, outsourcing of select services, and evolution of go-to-market footprint. Total restructuring costs were previously guided at $500M-$700M.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $74.49. At $76.78 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $74.49 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $85.42 (+11.3%), stop $69.70 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $85.42 (+15.0% upside). Target $85.42 (+11.3%), stop $69.70 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $69.70.
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
34 analysts cover EL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $95.
What does Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T do?Estee Lauder Companies manufactures, markets, and sells prestige skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care through...
Estee Lauder Companies manufactures, markets, and sells prestige skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care through more than 20 luxury brands in approximately 150 countries via department stores, duty-free, specialty retailers, and direct-to-consumer channels. A substantial majority of net sales and operating income are generated outside the United States.