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IPARInterparfums, Inc.Sell5.4·$107.97+3.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality franchise scoring 9 out of 9 on the Piotroski financial health scale and three consecutive earnings beats underpin a structurally sound business, but with the stock just below short-term resistance, the remaining upside of about 1.7% is dwarfed by the downside, and a critical regulatory filing event adds a near-term overhang that the setup does not compensate adequately.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Strong FinancialsStable
  • Geographic Concentration European ExposureStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. At $107.97, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: European based operations (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: largest brands (77.0%).

Interparfums manufactures, markets and distributes prestige fragrances under 20+ licensed and owned brands across two segments — European-based (~68% of net sales in 2025) and US-based (~32%). Revenue comes from royalty-bearing license agreements with fashion-house brand owners,... Read more

$107.97-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.97%
IncomeYield2.96%(5y avg 2.04%)Payout60.72%
Stop $100.85Target $106.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$109.33+1.3%6 analysts
$106.52our TP
$107.97price
$109.33mean
$85
$123

Sell if holding. At $107.97, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: European based operations (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: largest brands (77.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Interparfums, Inc.

About Interparfums, Inc.

Interparfums develops prestige fragrances under more than 20 licensed and owned brands, with European-based operations contributing approximately 68% of net sales in 2025 and US-based operations the remaining 32%. Jimmy Choo (17%), Coach (15%), Montblanc (15%), and GUESS (12%) each contributed double-digit revenue shares, and the company's seven largest brands collectively represented 77% of 2025 net sales. Macy's, the top retail customer, accounted for 10% of net sales.

Interparfums earns revenue by licensing the right to create and distribute fragrances under fashion-house brand names in exchange for royalty payments and minimum advertising expenditures — a model that requires no owned manufacturing infrastructure, as the company sources components and uses third-party fillers to produce finished goods. Licenses range from 5 to 20+ years with optional renewal provisions, and minimum sales requirements create downside exposure if a brand loses commercial momentum. GUESS was extended 15 years through December 31, 2048, and Coach was renewed through June 30, 2031; 20-year licenses for David Beckham and Nautica were signed in January 2026. The company also owns the Lanvin, Rochas, Off-White, Goutal, and Solférino brand names outright, reducing royalty costs on those lines.

Show full overview

Two material license agreements face near-term expiration: the Abercrombie & Fitch and Hollister license expires March 14, 2028, and the Boucheron license expires December 31, 2027 for its main existing lines. In May 2026, Interparfums disclosed via Form 8-K that it had dismissed Forvis Mazars, LLP as its independent auditor effective May 8, 2026, with management having concluded that effective internal control over financial reporting had not been maintained as of both December 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Interparfums, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: European based operations (68.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: largest brands (77.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)19.3
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE19.8%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta1.18
Dividend2.96%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV38%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicEuropean based operations68%
    10-K Item 1: 'fragrance product sales through our European based operations represented approximately 68% of net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProductlargest brands77%
    10-K Item 1: 'product sales for the Company's largest brands represented 77%, 76%, and 73% of sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
  • LOWCustomerMacy's10%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025 and 2024, Macy’s, our top retail customer, accounted for approximately10% and 12% of net sales, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 4.01HIGH
    Interparfums dismissed Forvis Mazars, LLP as independent registered public accounting firm effective May 8, 2026. Management concluded ineffective internal controls over financial reporting for both 2025 and 2024. No disagreements with Forvis cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
5.8

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
2.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 8.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.02Resistance $108.69

Price Targets

$101
$107
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IPAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $107.97, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: European based operations (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: largest brands (77.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $100.85. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IPAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.52 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $100.85. Stop-loss: $100.85.

What are the risks of investing in IPAR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: European based operations (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: largest brands (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is IPAR overvalued or undervalued?

Interparfums, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IPAR?

11 analysts cover IPAR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $109.

What does Interparfums, Inc. do?Interparfums manufactures, markets and distributes prestige fragrances under 20+ licensed and owned brands across two...

Interparfums manufactures, markets and distributes prestige fragrances under 20+ licensed and owned brands across two segments — European-based (~68% of net sales in 2025) and US-based (~32%). Revenue comes from royalty-bearing license agreements with fashion-house brand owners, selling through department stores, specialty retailers, and duty-free shops globally.

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