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KENKenon Holdings Ltd.Sell4.8·$66.49-1.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional reported revenue growth of 73% year-over-year and a strong financial health score coexist with an expensive valuation, two recent earnings misses, and negative price momentum — with the analyst target implying 33% upside but upside already deemed exhausted by near-term technicals, the setup favors caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Expensive ValuationStable
  • Dividend Yield Trap WarningImproving
  • Oversold Momentum Unconfirmed RecoveryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenon Holdings Ltd. (KEN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.49 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants,... Read more

$66.49+4.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 8 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.06%
IncomeYield5.68%(5y avg 17.57%)Payout311.69%at-risk
Stop $61.84Target $69.72(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.49 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.2
P/E (Fwd)-50.4
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA45.8
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth73.2%
Beta0.32
Dividend5.68%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.8
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.5
Dividend Safety
2.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 11 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Llm Sentiment
2.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
LLM news sentiment: -0.50 (n=1)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.67Resistance $71.14

Price Targets

$62
$70
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.49 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.84. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.72 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $61.84. Stop-loss: $61.84.

What are the risks of investing in KEN?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is KEN overvalued or undervalued?

Kenon Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 43.2 (forward -50.4). TrendMatrix value score: 1.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEN?

5 analysts cover KEN with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Kenon Holdings Ltd. do?Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation...

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants, and energy generation facilities using natural gas and renewable energy; and management of solar and wind energy, and conventional natural gas-fired power plants. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Singapore. Kenon Holdings Ltd. is a subsidiary of Ansonia Holdings Singapore B.V.

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