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KENKenon Holdings Ltd.Buy Wait5.9·$68.62+3.02%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional reported revenue growth of 73% year-over-year and a strong financial health score coexist with an expensive valuation, two recent earnings misses, and negative price momentum — with the analyst target implying 33% upside but upside already deemed exhausted by near-term technicals, the setup favors caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Expensive ValuationStable
  • Dividend Yield Trap WarningImproving
  • Oversold Momentum Unconfirmed RecoveryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenon Holdings Ltd. (KEN) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Earnings in 2 days (2026-09-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $62.15. BUY gates pass at $68.62, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants,... Read more

$68.62+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 9 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield5.78%(5y avg 17.57%)Payout311.69%at-risk
Entry $62.15(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $58.25Target $78.91(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $62.15. BUY gates pass at $68.62, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Sep 7, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.7
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA45.9
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth73.2%
Beta0.32
Dividend5.78%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
4.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.5
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 2 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.50Resistance $69.42

Price Targets

$58
$62
$79
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-07 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $62.15. BUY gates pass at $68.62, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $62.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $78.91 (+15.0%), stop $58.25 (−17.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.91 (+18.1% upside). Target $78.91 (+15.0%), stop $58.25 (−17.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $58.25.

What are the risks of investing in KEN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Is KEN overvalued or undervalued?

Kenon Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 42.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KEN?

5 analysts cover KEN with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Kenon Holdings Ltd. do?Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation...

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants, and energy generation facilities using natural gas and renewable energy; and management of solar and wind energy, and conventional natural gas-fired power plants. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Singapore. Kenon Holdings Ltd. is a subsidiary of Ansonia Holdings Singapore B.V.

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