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KENKenon Holdings Ltd.Sell5.2·$63.75
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional reported revenue growth of 73% year-over-year and a strong financial health score coexist with an expensive valuation, two recent earnings misses, and negative price momentum — with the analyst target implying 33% upside but upside already deemed exhausted by near-term technicals, the setup favors caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Expensive Valuation→Stable
  • Dividend Yield Trap Warning→Stable
  • Oversold Momentum Unconfirmed Recovery↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenon Holdings Ltd. (KEN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.75: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.20; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants,... Read more

$63.75+8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 8 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.55%
IncomeYield6.04%(5y avg 17.60%)Payout168.12%at-risk
Stop $60.19Target $69.20(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.75: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.20; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.6
P/E (Fwd)-48.3
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA35.9
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth93.4%
Beta0.31
Dividend6.04%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C4.20bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.5
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.7
Gross Margin
1.2
Roe
2.3
Operating Margin
3.8
Moat
4.9
Net Margin
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -238% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.84Resistance $70.61

Price Targets

$60
$69
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.75: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.20; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $60.19. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.20 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $60.19. Stop-loss: $60.19.

What are the risks of investing in KEN?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KEN overvalued or undervalued?

Kenon Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 28.6 (forward -48.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEN?

5 analysts cover KEN with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Kenon Holdings Ltd. do?Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation...

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants, and energy generation facilities using natural gas and renewable energy; and management of solar and wind energy, and conventional natural gas-fired power plants. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Singapore. Kenon Holdings Ltd. is a subsidiary of Ansonia Holdings Singapore B.V.

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