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Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses (15-75 MWe) under a build-own-operate model, targeting first deployment in 2028 at Idaho National Laboratory. The company also develops nuclear fuel recycling and... Read more

$69.45+18.1% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#7 of 7 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Stop $64.75Target $82.22(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$91.36+31.5%18 analysts
$82.22our TP
$69.45price
$91.36mean
$14
$140

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.5Qual1.6Grw5.0Mom4.3Sent7.4Ins3.0Peer4.1Tech2.1Risk4.74.5OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-71.0
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA-72.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-12.2%
Rev Growth—
Beta0.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV109%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded to eleven directors; David Christian, Derek Kan, David Park, and Dr. Mark Peters appointed April 10, 2026. Michael Thompson appointed Lead Independent Director. All independent under NYSE standards.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
3.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 12 days
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.91Resistance $81.50

Price Targets

$65
$82
A.Upside+18.4%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OKLO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.45: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $64.75. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OKLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.22 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $64.75. Stop-loss: $64.75.

What are the risks of investing in OKLO?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is OKLO overvalued or undervalued?

Oklo Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -71.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OKLO?

26 analysts cover OKLO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Oklo Inc. do?Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses...

Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses (15-75 MWe) under a build-own-operate model, targeting first deployment in 2028 at Idaho National Laboratory. The company also develops nuclear fuel recycling and fabrication technology and, through subsidiary Atomic Alchemy, radioisotope production; it has signed power agreements with Meta, Switch (12 GW), and others but has no operating powerhouses or binding PPAs yet.

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