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KBRKBR, Inc.Sell4.9·$35.72+1.02%
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KBR, Inc. (KBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.72: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

KBR provides engineering, technology, and logistics support to the U.S. federal government, allied nations, and commercial clients through Mission Technology Solutions (defense, space, intelligence) and Sustainable Technology Solutions (energy transition, process licensing)... Read more

$35.72+13.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#26 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield5.51%
IncomeYield1.84%(5y avg 1.07%)Payout19.47%sustainable
Stop $33.22Target $40.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$46.57+30.4%7 analysts
$40.52our TP
$35.72price
$46.57mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.72: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE29.1%
Rev Growth-4.7%
Beta0.45
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$65+82.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government57%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues from the U.S. government represented 57% of our total consolidated revenues for fiscal 2025.'
  • LOWCustomerU.K. government9.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'U.K. government ... 9 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
2.5
52w Position
2.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
2.6
Operating Margin
2.7
Roa
3.3
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
4.5
Fcf Quality
4.8
Roe
9.7
Excellent ROE: 29%Earnings quality warning: 62% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.80Resistance $36.51

Price Targets

$33
$41
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.72: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $33.22. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.52 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.22. Stop-loss: $33.22.

What are the risks of investing in KBR?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KBR overvalued or undervalued?

KBR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KBR?

12 analysts cover KBR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $47.

What does KBR, Inc. do?KBR provides engineering, technology, and logistics support to the U.S. federal government, allied nations, and...

KBR provides engineering, technology, and logistics support to the U.S. federal government, allied nations, and commercial clients through Mission Technology Solutions (defense, space, intelligence) and Sustainable Technology Solutions (energy transition, process licensing) segments. The U.S. government represents 57% of revenues ($4.4B in fiscal 2025), with the U.K. government representing an additional 9%. KBR announced plans to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions business in fiscal 2026.

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