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KBR, Inc. (KBR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%).

KBR delivers science, technology, engineering, and logistics solutions to the US federal government, allied nations, and commercial clients through Mission Technology Solutions and Sustainable Energy and Industrial Technologies segments. US government revenues represented 57% of... Read more

$36.50+23.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $34.10Target $44.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$51.13+40.1%8 analysts
$44.48our TP
$36.50price
$51.13mean
$61

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 31%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE30.7%
Rev Growth-10.6%
Beta0.50
Dividend1.83%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government57%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues from the U.S. government represented 57% of our total consolidated revenues for fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
6.2
Value Rank
9.3
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.75Resistance $39.70

Price Targets

$34
$44
A.Upside+21.9%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $34.10. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.48 (+23.5% upside). Prior stop was $34.10. Stop-loss: $34.10.

What are the risks of investing in KBR?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (57.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is KBR overvalued or undervalued?

KBR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KBR?

13 analysts cover KBR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $51.

What does KBR, Inc. do?KBR delivers science, technology, engineering, and logistics solutions to the US federal government, allied nations,...

KBR delivers science, technology, engineering, and logistics solutions to the US federal government, allied nations, and commercial clients through Mission Technology Solutions and Sustainable Energy and Industrial Technologies segments. US government revenues represented 57% of fiscal 2025 consolidated revenues, with additional revenue from UK and Australian government contracts and commercial energy clients. Key focus areas include defense modernization, national security space, health and human performance, and energy transition.

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