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JOUTJohnson Outdoors Inc.Sell5.2·$43.48-2.16%
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Johnson Outdoors Inc. (JOUT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $43.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.5%.

Johnson Outdoors Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets seasonal and outdoor recreation products for fishing worldwide. It operates through Fishing; Camping & Watercraft Recreation; and Diving segments. The Fishing segment offers electric motors for quiet trolling or primary... Read more

$43.48+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.07%
IncomeYield3.04%(5y avg 2.62%)Payout272.34%at-risk
Stop $41.44Target $46.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$55.00+26.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $43.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$455M
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.04%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.72Resistance $47.99

Price Targets

$41
$47
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JOUT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $43.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.44. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JOUT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.75 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $41.44. Stop-loss: $41.44.

What are the risks of investing in JOUT?

Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Negative momentum.

Is JOUT overvalued or undervalued?

Johnson Outdoors Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JOUT?

7 analysts cover JOUT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Johnson Outdoors Inc. do?Johnson Outdoors Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets seasonal and outdoor recreation products for fishing...

Johnson Outdoors Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets seasonal and outdoor recreation products for fishing worldwide. It operates through Fishing; Camping & Watercraft Recreation; and Diving segments. The Fishing segment offers electric motors for quiet trolling or primary propulsion, marine battery chargers, and shallow water anchors; sonar and GPS equipment for fish finding, navigation and marine cartography; and downriggers for controlled-depth fishing. This segment sells its products under the Minn Kota, Humminbird, and Cannon brands through outdoor specialty retailers, retail store chains, internet dealers, original equipment manufacturers, and distributors. The Camping & Watercraft Recreation segment provides portable outdoor cooking systems, single burner and two burner stoves, and accessories under the Jetboil brand to camping and backpacking specialty stores, sporting goods stores, internet retailers, and direct customer through website and distributors; and kayaks, canoes, personal watercraft equipment and products, and paddles for family recreation, touring, and angling through independent specialty and outdoor retailers under Old Town and Carlisle brands. The Diving segment manufactures and markets underwater diving and snorkeling equipment, such as regulators, buoyancy compensators, dive computers and gauges, wetsuits, masks, fins, snorkels, and accessories through independent specialty dive stores and diving magazines under the SCUBAPRO brand. This segment also provides regular maintenance, product repair, diving education, and travel program services; and sells diving gear to dive training centers, resorts, and public safety units through websites and internet retailers. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin.

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