Value
6.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.9 |
| PEG | 5.7 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.5x
- ▸PEG: 1.32
JOUT · Why this verdict
Why Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.4 |
| Gross margin | 3.5 |
| Op margin | 2.1 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.5 |
| Moat | 6.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
6.4/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.4 |
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 3.1 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 26%
Insider
3.8/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $141,589 (0.031% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.5 |
| quality rank | 2.1 |
| growth rank | 7.9 |
Technical
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 8.6 |
| 52w position | 6.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.6 |
| days to cover | 3.5 |
| volatility | 2.1 |
| beta | 8.2 |
| debt equity | 9.6 |
Catalyst
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 304.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:34d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.90
Upside
+7.5%
Downside
8.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.2 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.90 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.3, Value at 6.4, and Growth at 6.4; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Insider at 3.8, and Quality at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.90 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.